Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Monteiro S.
8'
8'
de Graaf J.
53'
53'
el Ghamarti Y.
AI Match Summary
VVOG in this Derde Divisie 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored VVOG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportlust
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Sportlust have won more games recently than VVOG.
- Sportlust are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 19%
VVOG Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportlust | VVOG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2023 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs VVOG
0:3
Oct 29, 2022 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs Sportlust
0:3
Apr 30, 2022 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs VVOG
4:0
Nov 20, 2021 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs Sportlust
0:2
Jan 23, 2021 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs VVOG
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportlust Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
VVOG Compare
Top Goalscorer el Ghamarti Y.
2 Goals Assists Leader de Graaf J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportlust 85 / 100
VVOG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportlust VVOG
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportlust Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VVOG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Sportlust found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Sportlust went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sportlust VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportlust
(Home) 26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Sportlust
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
22 Aug
Sportlust
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 4
VVOG
(Away) 02 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 1 VVOG
10 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 4 VVOG
03 Aug
VVOG
0 : 3 ACV Assen
03 Jun
VVOG
2 : 4 Smitshoek
30 May
Smitshoek
1 : 0 VVOG
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 1 VVOG
10 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 4 VVOG
30 May
Smitshoek
1 : 0 VVOG
27 May
Harkemase Boys
1 : 2 VVOG
13 May
VV DOVO
5 : 1 VVOG
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 71:33 | 75 |
| 2 | GVVV | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 77:40 | 69 |
| 3 | SteDoCo | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 59:42 | 58 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 64:55 | 56 |
| 5 | Barendrecht | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 71:54 | 55 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 52:50 | 53 |
| 7 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 54:43 | 52 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 50 |
| 9 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 71:72 | 50 |
| 10 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 3 | 16 | 51:56 | 48 |
| 11 | Staphorst | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:41 | 45 |
| 12 | Urk | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 62:76 | 42 |
| 13 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 52:56 | 38 |
| 14 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 52:72 | 36 |
| 15 | VVOG | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 49:71 | 35 |
| 16 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 47:58 | 33 |
| 17 | Ter Leede | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 50:65 | 33 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 25:61 | 27 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 85:37 | 84 |
| 2 | VVSB | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 87:52 | 71 |
| 3 | USV Hercules | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 64:33 | 63 |
| 4 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 53:45 | 55 |
| 5 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 58:56 | 54 |
| 6 | HSC '21 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 64:42 | 51 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 55:41 | 49 |
| 8 | TOGB | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 68:56 | 49 |
| 9 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 59:47 | 49 |
| 10 | DEM | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 58:53 | 48 |
| 11 | Gemert | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 52:59 | 47 |
| 12 | GVV Unitas | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | 45 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 42:44 | 43 |
| 14 | FC OSS '20 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:59 | 36 |
| 15 | Watergraafsmeer | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:80 | 32 |
| 16 | Baronie | 34 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 44:70 | 28 |
| 17 | Dongen | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:77 | 25 |
| 18 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 26:67 | 17 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
