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Springfield vs Chicago City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League Two 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chicago City in this USL League Two 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chicago City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Springfield
15%
Draws
49%
Chicago City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chicago City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Springfield haven't matched Chicago City's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chicago City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Chicago City have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Springfield Clean Sheet 10%
Chicago City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Springfield Chicago City
Matches Played 26 39
Wins 4 19
Draws 1 5
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.92 2.15
Goals Conceded 3 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2023 USL League Two
Springfield vs Chicago City
0:5
May 20, 2023 USL League Two
Chicago City vs Springfield
4:2
Jul 16, 2022 USL League Two
Springfield vs Chicago City
1:4
Jul 3, 2022 USL League Two
Chicago City vs Springfield
4:2
Jun 2, 2022 USL League Two
Chicago City vs Springfield
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Springfield 10 / 100
Chicago City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Springfield Chicago City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chicago City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Springfield scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Chicago City conceded in 77% of 39 recent games.

Difficult form: Chicago City registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Springfield VS Chicago City
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
5.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Springfield

(Home)
14 Jul
FC Wichita
5 : 0
Springfield
10 Jul
Peoria IL
6 : 1
Springfield
06 Jul
Springfield
0 : 2
Peoria IL
02 Jul
Chicago Dutch Lions
1 : 2
Springfield
28 Jun
St. Charles
1 : 0
Springfield
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Chicago City

(Away)
14 Jul
River Light
2 : 1
Chicago City
09 Jul
Sueno
2 : 2
Chicago City
03 Jul
Peoria IL
4 : 1
Chicago City
30 Jun
Chicago Dutch Lions
1 : 5
Chicago City
26 Jun
Chicago City
0 : 2
Peoria IL
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