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Sputnik vs Dnepr Mogilev

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2021/2022
Sat, Aug 7, 2021
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Belarusian Cup 2021/2022. Dnepr Mogilev are expected to control this from the start. Sputnik have averaged 0.5 scored and 2.6 conceded recently, against Dnepr Mogilev's 1.03 scored and 1.65 conceded. Past meetings favor Sputnik slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 0.93) point toward Dnepr Mogilev. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sputnik
30%
Draws
70%
Dnepr Mogilev
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dnepr Mogilev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dnepr Mogilev come out ahead of Sputnik on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dnepr Mogilev a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Dnepr Mogilev arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sputnik Clean Sheet 20%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sputnik Dnepr Mogilev
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 6
Draws 1 11
Losses 26 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2021 Belarusian Cup
Sputnik vs Dnepr Mogilev
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sputnik 10 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sputnik Dnepr Mogilev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dnepr Mogilev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dnepr Mogilev has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Sputnik's goal record stands at 28% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Dnepr Mogilev's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dnepr Mogilev
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sputnik

(Home)
28 Nov
Sputnik
0 : 3
Slutsk
20 Nov
Vitebsk
3 : 0
Sputnik
06 Nov
Sputnik
0 : 3
Zhodino
23 Oct
Din. Minsk
3 : 0
Sputnik
16 Oct
Sputnik
0 : 3
Neman
Page 1 of 6

Dnepr Mogilev

(Away)
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2
Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Osipovichi 1
Molodechno 2
TBD -
SKA-1938 Minsk -
Krumkachy -
TBD -
TBD -
Neman -
FK Cementnik 0
Partizan Salihorsk 3
TBD -
Sputnik -
Kronon Stolbtsy 1
Dnepr Mogilev 4
TBD -
FC Minsk -
ML Vitebsk 2
Volna Pinsk 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Ostrovets 1
FK Baranovici 2
TBD -
BATE -
Stanles Pinsk 3
FC Slonim 2
TBD -
Zhodino -
Senno 1
Lokomotiv Gomel 6
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Brest Malorita 11
Kostyukovichy 0
TBD -
Slutsk -
Grodnensky 1
FK Lida 6
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Leskhoz 1
Uzda 2
TBD -
Shakhtyor Soligorsk -
Stroitel Kapyl 0
Orsha 4
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Lepel 0
FK Smolevichi 1
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Ivatsevichi 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 5
TBD -
Smorgon -
Gazovik Vitebsk 1
Naftan 8
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
FK Kobrin 0
Belshina 3
TBD -
Rukh Brest -
1/16-finals
Molodechno 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 4
Krumkachy 1
Neman 2
Partizan Salihorsk 2
Sputnik 3
Dnepr Mogilev 2
FC Minsk 1
Volna Pinsk 0
Slavia Mozyr 1
FK Baranovici 1
BATE 6
Stanles Pinsk 0
Zhodino 2
Lokomotiv Gomel 4
Isloch Minsk 3
Brest Malorita 1
Slutsk 2
FK Lida 0
Din. Minsk 3
Uzda 0
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 3
Orsha 2
FC Gomel 6
FK Smolevichi 1
Vitebsk 3
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2
Smorgon 1
Naftan 2
Dynamo Brest 3
Belshina 1
Rukh Brest 3
1/8-finals
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
Neman 4
Sputnik -
Dnepr Mogilev -
Slavia Mozyr 1
BATE 2
Zhodino 1
Lokomotiv Gomel 0
Slutsk 0
Din. Minsk 4
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1
FC Gomel 2
Vitebsk 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0
Dynamo Brest 2
Rukh Brest 0
Quarter-finals
Neman 3
Dnepr Mogilev 0
BATE 2
Zhodino 1
Din. Minsk 2
FC Gomel 4
Vitebsk 2
Dynamo Brest 1
Semi-finals
Neman 2
BATE 3
FC Gomel 2
Vitebsk 1
Final
BATE 1
FC Gomel 2