Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein

Fortuna Koln II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SpVg Porz 1919 play Fortuna Koln II in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. It looks like a close match. Recently, SpVg Porz 1919 averaged 1.93 goals scored and 3.3 conceded. Fortuna Koln II averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, SpVg Porz 1919 won 3, Fortuna Koln II won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for SpVg Porz 1919 and 2.81 for Fortuna Koln II. This points to a Fortuna Koln II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

SpVg Porz 1919

22%

Draws

48%

Fortuna Koln II

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fortuna Koln II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

SpVg Porz 1919 picked up more points recently compared to Fortuna Koln II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 2.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 95%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

SpVg Porz 1919 Clean Sheet 10%

Fortuna Koln II Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 86%

Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SpVg Porz 1919	Fortuna Koln II
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	13
Draws	4	6
Losses	19	11
Goals Scored	1.93	2.07
Goals Conceded	3.3	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.88	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein

SpVg Porz 1919 vs Fortuna Koln II

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Oct 19, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein

Fortuna Koln II vs SpVg Porz 1919

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 3 - 4

3:3

May 11, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein

Fortuna Koln II vs SpVg Porz 1919

Possession: 60% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Oct 27, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein

SpVg Porz 1919 vs Fortuna Koln II

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

4:3

May 5, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein

Fortuna Koln II vs SpVg Porz 1919

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

2:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SpVg Porz 1919 29 / 100

Fortuna Koln II 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SpVg Porz 1919 Fortuna Koln II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fortuna Koln II or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.32

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SpVg Porz 1919 attacking → ← attacking Fortuna Koln II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SpVg Porz 1919 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Fortuna Koln II let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

SpVg Porz 1919 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Fortuna Koln II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 45

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

3.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bergisch Gladbach	30	20	7	3	85:28	67
2	Eintracht Hohkeppel	30	20	4	6	86:36	64
3	Siegburger	30	19	5	6	75:34	62
4	Merten	30	18	6	6	80:28	60
5	VfL Vichttal	30	18	5	7	80:43	59
6	FC Wegberg-Beeck	30	15	6	9	62:35	51
7	Frechen	30	16	2	12	66:54	50
8	Bornheim	30	14	4	12	65:56	46
9	Konigsdorf	30	14	4	12	53:54	46
10	Fortuna Koln II	30	13	6	11	62:47	45
11	1. FC Duren	30	11	5	14	49:59	38
12	Hennef	30	11	2	17	45:66	35
13	SpVg Porz 1919	30	7	4	19	58:99	25
14	Teutonia Weiden	30	4	4	22	25:104	16
15	Sportfreunde Duren	30	4	2	24	41:103	14
16	Pesch	30	2	2	26	26:112	8