Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SpVg Porz 1919 vs Hennef - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SpVg Porz 1919 host Hennef in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Hennef have shipped 1.87 goals a game lately, while SpVg Porz 1919 have conceded 3.13 and scored 1.61. Head-to-head, SpVg Porz 1919 have won 2 to Hennef's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:5. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.25) point toward Hennef. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
SpVg Porz 1919
15%
Draws
42%
Hennef
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SpVg Porz 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Hennef have won more games recently than SpVg Porz 1919.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
SpVg Porz 1919 Clean Sheet 10%
Hennef Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SpVg Porz 1919 Hennef
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.61 1.43
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
SpVg Porz 1919 vs Hennef
1:5
Nov 16, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs SpVg Porz 1919
2:0
May 4, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
SpVg Porz 1919 vs Hennef
5:1
Oct 20, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs SpVg Porz 1919
1:4
Mar 17, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
SpVg Porz 1919 vs Hennef
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SpVg Porz 1919 29 / 100
Hennef 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SpVg Porz 1919 Hennef

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SpVg Porz 1919 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SpVg Porz 1919's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Hennef let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Hennef lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SpVg Porz 1919 VS Hennef
1 Goals Scored 1.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SpVg Porz 1919

(Home)
11 Oct
Konigsdorf
2 : 1
SpVg Porz 1919
04 Oct
SpVg Porz 1919
0 : 1
FC Wegberg-Beeck
27 Sept
Eintracht Hohkeppel
4 : 1
SpVg Porz 1919
20 Sept
SpVg Porz 1919
2 : 0
Bornheim
13 Sept
FC Hurth
2 : 0
SpVg Porz 1919
Page 1 of 7

Hennef

(Away)
11 Oct
Hennef
1 : 3
1. FC Duren
04 Oct
Hennef
0 : 1
Fortuna Koln II
27 Sept
Konigsdorf
1 : 4
Hennef
20 Sept
Hennef
0 : 3
FC Wegberg-Beeck
13 Sept
Eintracht Hohkeppel
3 : 0
Hennef
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Hohkeppel 7 5 1 1 22:12 16
2 FC Wegberg-Beeck 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 7 4 2 1 15:11 14
4 Merten 7 4 1 2 22:10 13
5 Fortuna Koln II 6 4 0 2 15:10 12
6 Frechen 7 3 2 2 14:13 11
7 1. FC Duren 7 3 1 3 15:15 10
8 Chlodwig Zulpich 7 3 1 3 19:21 10
9 Bornheim 7 3 0 4 17:17 9
10 FC Hurth 7 2 3 2 7:7 9
11 VfL Vichttal 7 2 2 3 18:14 8
12 Siegburger 7 2 2 3 12:16 8
13 Hennef 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
14 SpVg Porz 1919 7 1 2 4 8:13 5
15 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Konigsdorf 6 1 0 5 8:28 3
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)