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SpVgg Herne Horsthausen vs ASC 09 Dortmund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Westfalen game between SpVgg Herne Horsthausen and ASC 09 Dortmund finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASC 09 Dortmund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
15%
Draws
45%
ASC 09 Dortmund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASC 09 Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • ASC 09 Dortmund carry the better recent record into this one.
  • ASC 09 Dortmund are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Oberliga Westfalen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen Clean Sheet 10%
ASC 09 Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SpVgg Herne Horsthausen ASC 09 Dortmund
Matches Played 11 27
Wins 4 15
Draws 1 6
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.82 2.33
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen vs ASC 09 Dortmund
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 22 / 100
ASC 09 Dortmund 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen ASC 09 Dortmund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC 09 Dortmund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (11 games).

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

ASC 09 Dortmund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen VS ASC 09 Dortmund
2 Goals Scored 2.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen

(Home)
11 Oct
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
1 : 0
TuS Hordel
03 Oct
Lippstadt
5 : 3
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
27 Sept
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
4 : 2
Schermbeck 2020
20 Sept
Eintracht Rheine
3 : 1
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
13 Sept
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
4 : 3
Sprockhovel
Page 1 of 3

ASC 09 Dortmund

(Away)
10 Oct
ASC 09 Dortmund
1 : 2
Gievenbeck
04 Oct
TUS Ennepetal
1 : 5
ASC 09 Dortmund
27 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
3 : 3
TuS Hordel
19 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
4 : 1
Lippstadt
06 Sept
Eintracht Rheine
0 : 2
ASC 09 Dortmund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gievenbeck 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
2 Vreden 9 6 1 2 25:19 19
3 Eintracht Rheine 9 6 0 3 20:13 18
4 Erkenschwick 9 5 3 1 15:9 18
5 Maaslingen 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
6 Lippstadt 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
7 Sprockhovel 9 4 2 3 25:17 14
8 Verl II 9 4 2 3 19:16 14
9 ASC 09 Dortmund 9 4 1 4 23:19 13
10 Arminia Bielefeld II 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
11 Preussen Munster 2 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
12 Westfalia Kinderhaus 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
13 TuS Hordel 9 2 4 3 14:17 10
14 SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 9 3 0 6 17:23 9
15 Clarholz 9 2 2 5 21:22 8
16 Hiltrup 9 2 1 6 8:20 7
17 TUS Ennepetal 9 0 5 4 10:23 5
18 Schermbeck 2020 8 0 1 7 7:22 1
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)