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SpVgg Herne Horsthausen vs TuS Hordel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen
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AI Match Summary

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen in this Oberliga Westfalen matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SpVgg Herne Horsthausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
20%
Draws
36%
TuS Hordel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SpVgg Herne Horsthausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • SpVgg Herne Horsthausen average 1.9 goals a game right now, well clear of TuS Hordel's 0.95.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Oberliga Westfalen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen Clean Sheet 10%
TuS Hordel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SpVgg Herne Horsthausen TuS Hordel
Matches Played 10 20
Wins 3 3
Draws 1 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.9 0.95
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen vs TuS Hordel
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 29 / 100
TuS Hordel 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen TuS Hordel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SpVgg Herne Horsthausen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen scored in 80% of their last 10 games.

TuS Hordel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 20 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen VS TuS Hordel
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen

(Home)
03 Oct
Lippstadt
5 : 3
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
27 Sept
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
4 : 2
Schermbeck 2020
20 Sept
Eintracht Rheine
3 : 1
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
13 Sept
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
4 : 3
Sprockhovel
06 Sept
Maaslingen
2 : 0
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
Page 1 of 2

TuS Hordel

(Away)
04 Oct
TuS Hordel
1 : 4
Vreden
27 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
3 : 3
TuS Hordel
20 Sept
TuS Hordel
2 : 1
Hiltrup
13 Sept
Verl II
1 : 1
TuS Hordel
06 Sept
TuS Hordel
1 : 3
Arminia Bielefeld II
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gievenbeck 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
2 Vreden 9 6 1 2 25:19 19
3 Eintracht Rheine 9 6 0 3 20:13 18
4 Erkenschwick 9 5 3 1 15:9 18
5 Maaslingen 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
6 Lippstadt 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
7 Sprockhovel 9 4 2 3 25:17 14
8 Verl II 9 4 2 3 19:16 14
9 ASC 09 Dortmund 9 4 1 4 23:19 13
10 Arminia Bielefeld II 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
11 Preussen Munster 2 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
12 Westfalia Kinderhaus 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
13 TuS Hordel 9 2 4 3 14:17 10
14 SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 9 3 0 6 17:23 9
15 Clarholz 9 2 2 5 21:22 8
16 Hiltrup 9 2 1 6 8:20 7
17 TUS Ennepetal 9 0 5 4 10:23 5
18 Schermbeck 2020 8 0 1 7 7:22 1
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)