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Squires Gate vs Chorley Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Birchall L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Squires Gate and Chorley finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chorley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Squires Gate
15%
Draws
68%
Chorley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chorley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Chorley carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chorley are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Squires Gate Clean Sheet 20%
Chorley Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Squires Gate Chorley
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 3 10
Draws 1 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.17
Goals Conceded 3.21 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Squires Gate vs Chorley
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Squires Gate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Chorley Compare

Top Goalscorer Birchall L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Squires Gate 10 / 100
Chorley 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Squires Gate Chorley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chorley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Squires Gate's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chorley conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Squires Gate has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chorley
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Squires Gate

(Home)
12 Jul
Squires Gate
0 : 6
Radcliffe
28 Jun
Squires Gate
0 : 1
Chorley
13 Jul
Squires Gate
1 : 5
Stalybridge
18 Sept
Squires Gate
2 : 3
Pontefract Collieries
04 Sept
Squires Gate
1 : 0
North Shields
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Chorley

(Away)
03 Oct
Barton Town
1 : 4
Chorley
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1
Spalding United
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0
Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
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