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Sri Lanka Police vs Negombo Youth

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sri Lanka Police in this Champions League 2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sri Lanka Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sri Lanka Police
6%
Draws
4%
Negombo Youth
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sri Lanka Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Negombo Youth at 1.25 per game, Sri Lanka Police at 1.
  • Model gives Sri Lanka Police a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2017 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sri Lanka Police Clean Sheet 10%
Negombo Youth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Lanka Police Negombo Youth
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 4 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2017 Super League
Sri Lanka Police vs Negombo Youth
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka Police 83 / 100
Negombo Youth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Lanka Police Negombo Youth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Negombo Youth has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Sri Lanka Police scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Negombo Youth's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sri Lanka Police VS Negombo Youth
1 Goals Scored 1.25
4 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colombo17124146:1140
2Renown17124144:1840
3New Young's SC1795334:1532
4Super Sun1794427:1731
5Pelicans SC1785425:1729
6Blue Eagles1777324:1428
7Matara City1776428:1727
8Solid1765626:2823
9Defenders FC1764726:1722
10Saunders1757521:2422
11Sea Hawks1762923:2620
12UP Country Lions1762936:5120
13Blue Star1746718:2718
14Java Lane1745819:3017
15Negombo Youth17521024:4117
16Crystal Palace1744923:3916
17Sri Lanka Police17411218:4113
18Moragasmulla17131319:486