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Sri Lanka Police vs UP Country Lions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Champions League 2017 game between Sri Lanka Police and UP Country Lions finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UP Country Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Sri Lanka Police
22%
Draws
60%
UP Country Lions
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UP Country Lions come out ahead of Sri Lanka Police on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans UP Country Lions's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2017 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sri Lanka Police Clean Sheet 10%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Lanka Police UP Country Lions
Matches Played 26 34
Wins 6 18
Draws 3 2
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2017 Super League
Sri Lanka Police vs UP Country Lions
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka Police 18 / 100
UP Country Lions 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Lanka Police UP Country Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Sri Lanka Police found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (26 games).

UP Country Lions has conceded goals in 76% of their last 34 outings.

UP Country Lions lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sri Lanka Police VS UP Country Lions
1 Goals Scored 1.63
5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colombo17124146:1140
2Renown17124144:1840
3New Young's SC1795334:1532
4Super Sun1794427:1731
5Pelicans SC1785425:1729
6Blue Eagles1777324:1428
7Matara City1776428:1727
8Solid1765626:2823
9Defenders FC1764726:1722
10Saunders1757521:2422
11Sea Hawks1762923:2620
12UP Country Lions1762936:5120
13Blue Star1746718:2718
14Java Lane1745819:3017
15Negombo Youth17521024:4117
16Crystal Palace1744923:3916
17Sri Lanka Police17411218:4113
18Moragasmulla17131319:486