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Sri Lanka U20 vs Maldives U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Sri Lanka U20 Logo

Sri Lanka U20

0 - 4
FT
Maldives U20 Logo

Maldives U20

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Imran M.
60' Event
Shamhaan M.
63'
Fariq M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sri Lanka U20
20%
Draws
58%
Maldives U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maldives U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maldives U20 lately — more wins on the board than Sri Lanka U20.
  • Maldives U20 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Maldives U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Maldives U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Sri Lanka U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Maldives U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Lanka U20 Maldives U20
Matches Played 19 21
Wins 2 3
Draws 2 3
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.37 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.74 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U20
Sri Lanka U20 vs Maldives U20
0:4
Mar 23, 2026 SAFF Championship U20
Maldives U20 vs Sri Lanka U20
2:3
Jul 31, 2022 SAFF Championship U20
Maldives U20 vs Sri Lanka U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sri Lanka U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Maldives U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasir N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Imran M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka U20 22 / 100
Maldives U20 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Lanka U20 Maldives U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maldives U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldives U20 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 21 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Sri Lanka U20 scored in 21% of their last 19 games.

Solid form: Sri Lanka U20 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sri Lanka U20 VS Maldives U20
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Lanka U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Brunei U20
0 : 2
Sri Lanka U20
03 Sept
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 4
Maldives U20
31 Aug
Myanmar U20
4 : 0
Sri Lanka U20
27 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 0
Sri Lanka U20
25 Mar
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 1
Nepal U20
Page 1 of 4

Maldives U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Myanmar U20
6 : 0
Maldives U20
03 Sept
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 4
Maldives U20
31 Aug
Maldives U20
2 : 0
Brunei U20
27 Mar
Maldives U20
1 : 1
Nepal U20
25 Mar
Bhutan U20
0 : 0
Maldives U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Lebanon U20 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 Kyrgyzstan U20 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Philippines U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U20 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 India U20 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Syria U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Bangladesh U20 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Iran U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Palestine U20 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Vietnam U20 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U20 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
2 Jordan U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Afghanistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Bahrain U20 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Oman U20 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Qatar U20 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Hong Kong U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 United Arab Emirates U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Turkmenistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Kuwait U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
3 Yemen U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Cambodia U20 3 1 0 2 2:14 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Malaysia U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Australia U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Laos U20 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mongolia U20 2 2 0 0 10:0 6
2 Guam U20 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Northern Mariana Islands U20 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
4 Nepal U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Singapore U20 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bhutan U20 3 1 0 2 9:5 3
4 Macau U20 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 Maldives U20 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
3 Sri Lanka U20 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)