Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Suengchitthawon T.
Assist: Mickelson N.
34'
34'
Mickelson N.
46'
46'
Sub
Addis Z. In: Razeek A.
Out: Addis Z.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Thailand lately — more wins on the board than Sri Lanka.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Sri Lanka taking it.
- Thailand arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Thailand, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Thailand have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 16%
Thailand Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sri Lanka | Thailand |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 12 | 20 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 18, 2025 Asian Cup
Sri Lanka vs Thailand
0:4
Mar 25, 2025 Asian Cup
Thailand vs Sri Lanka
1:0
Jun 11, 2022 Asian Cup
Sri Lanka vs Thailand
0:2
May 25, 2001 World Championship
Sri Lanka vs Thailand
0:3
May 12, 2001 World Championship
Thailand vs Sri Lanka
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sri Lanka Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Thailand Compare
Top Goalscorer Soonsup-Bell J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Suengchitthawon T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sri Lanka 57 / 100
Thailand 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sri Lanka Thailand
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sri Lanka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Sri Lanka has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Sri Lanka scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Thailand conceded in 56% of 34 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Sri Lanka VS Thailand
2 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sri Lanka
(Home) 05 Oct
Mauritius
2 : 3 Sri Lanka
02 Oct
Mauritius
3 : 0 Sri Lanka
30 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 2 Sri Lanka
27 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 3 Sri Lanka
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1 Bhutan
Page 1 of 6
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1 Bhutan
18 Nov
Sri Lanka
0 : 4 Thailand
09 Oct
Sri Lanka
1 : 0 Turkmenistan
09 Sept
Sri Lanka
1 : 1 Maldives
06 Sept
Sri Lanka
0 : 3 Maldives
Page 1 of 3
Thailand
(Away) 05 Oct
Indonesia
3 : 2 Thailand
02 Oct
Thailand
1 : 2 Philippines
29 Sept
Thailand
2 : 0 Vietnam
26 Sept
Pakistan
0 : 4 Thailand
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2 Thailand
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
Indonesia
3 : 2 Thailand
26 Sept
Pakistan
0 : 4 Thailand
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2 Thailand
15 Aug
Singapore
1 : 3 Thailand
04 Aug
Philippines
0 : 1 Thailand
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tajikistan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Philippines | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Maldives | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 3 |
| 4 | Timor-Leste | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yemen | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:1 | 14 |
| 2 | Lebanon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Bhutan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Brunei | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singapore | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Hong Kong | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Bangladesh | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 4 | India | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thailand | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Turkmenistan | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Sri Lanka | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 4 | Chinese Taipei | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:19 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Syria | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Myanmar | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | 12 |
| 3 | Afghanistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 2 |
| 4 | Pakistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:11 | 2 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Malaysia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Laos | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Nepal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
