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Sri Lanka W vs Maldives W

Asia Asia

SAFF Championship Women 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sri Lanka W play Maldives W in the SAFF Championship Women 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sri Lanka W averaged 0.48 goals scored and 3.45 conceded. Maldives W averaged 0.48 goals scored and 5.42 conceded. In past meetings, Sri Lanka W won 2, Maldives W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 18, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.88 for Sri Lanka W and 2.31 for Maldives W. This points to a Sri Lanka W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sri Lanka W
15%
Draws
34%
Maldives W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Sri Lanka W picked up more points recently compared to Maldives W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.88 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%
Sri Lanka W Clean Sheet 10%
Maldives W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Lanka W Maldives W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 5 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 26 28
Goals Scored 0.48 0.48
Goals Conceded 3.45 5.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 7.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2024 SAFF Championship Women
Sri Lanka W vs Maldives W
1:0
Dec 7, 2019 Friendly International Women
Sri Lanka W vs Maldives W
1:2
Mar 15, 2019 SAFF Championship Women
Maldives W vs Sri Lanka W
0:2
Dec 26, 2016 SAFF Championship Women
Sri Lanka W vs Maldives W
2:5
Feb 11, 2016 Friendly International Women
Maldives W vs Sri Lanka W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka W 48 / 100
Maldives W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Lanka W Maldives W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sri Lanka W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sri Lanka W attacking → ← attacking Maldives W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sri Lanka W scored in 35% of their last 31 games.

Maldives W let in goals in 100% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sri Lanka W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Maldives W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 9
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.13
4.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 7.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nepal W330018:09
2Maldives W32018:126
3Sri Lanka W31024:63
4Bhutan W30031:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bangladesh W21106:04
2India W21105:14
3Afghanistan W20021:110