Sport Picks

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Sri Lanka W vs Nepal W

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Rana G.
14' Event
Bhandari S.
36' Event
Bhandari S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-8. This leg finished 0-8.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sri Lanka W
15%
Draws
85%
Nepal W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nepal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nepal W lately — more wins on the board than Sri Lanka W.
  • Nepal W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Nepal W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nepal W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nepal W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Sri Lanka W Clean Sheet 10%
Nepal W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Lanka W Nepal W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 20
Draws 0 4
Losses 26 10
Goals Scored 0.43 2.56
Goals Conceded 3.53 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 3.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 SAFF Championship Women
Nepal W vs Sri Lanka W
2:0
Jul 2, 2025 Asian Cup Women
Sri Lanka W vs Nepal W
0:8
Oct 24, 2024 SAFF Championship Women
Nepal W vs Sri Lanka W
6:0
Sep 12, 2022 SAFF Championship Women
Nepal W vs Sri Lanka W
6:0
Dec 3, 2019 Friendly International Women
Nepal W vs Sri Lanka W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sri Lanka W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Nepal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bhandari S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Rana G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.33
Avg xA / game 2.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka W 10 / 100
Nepal W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Lanka W Nepal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nepal W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Nepal W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Sri Lanka W found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (30 games).

Nepal W has conceded goals in 53% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sri Lanka W VS Nepal W
0 Goals Scored 2.75
4.57 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Lanka W

(Home)
07 Jun
Saudi Arabia W
4 : 0
Sri Lanka W
31 May
Nepal W
2 : 0
Sri Lanka W
28 May
Sri Lanka W
0 : 4
Bhutan W
05 Jul
Laos W
2 : 0
Sri Lanka W
02 Jul
Sri Lanka W
0 : 8
Nepal W
Page 1 of 6

Nepal W

(Away)
03 Jun
Nepal W
1 : 2
Bangladesh W
31 May
Nepal W
2 : 0
Sri Lanka W
25 May
Bhutan W
0 : 1
Nepal W
02 Dec
Nepal W
0 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
26 Nov
Indonesia W
2 : 1
Nepal W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran W 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
2 Jordan W 4 3 0 1 13:2 9
3 Bhutan W 4 2 0 2 6:13 6
4 Lebanon W 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
5 Singapore W 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India W 4 4 0 0 24:1 12
2 Thailand W 4 3 0 1 23:2 9
3 Timor-Leste W 4 1 1 2 3:9 4
4 Iraq W 4 1 1 2 5:14 4
5 Mongolia W 4 0 0 4 3:32 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bangladesh W 3 3 0 0 16:1 9
2 Myanmar W 3 2 0 1 15:2 6
3 Bahrain W 3 0 1 2 2:15 1
4 Turkmenistan W 3 0 1 2 2:17 1
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei W 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Pakistan W 3 2 0 1 4:9 6
3 Indonesia W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Kyrgyzstan W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam W 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 United Arab Emirates W 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Guam W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Maldives W 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan W 3 2 1 0 20:3 7
2 Nepal W 3 2 1 0 20:3 7
3 Laos W 3 1 0 2 2:16 3
4 Sri Lanka W 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Philippines W 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Hong Kong W 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Cambodia W 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Saudi Arabia W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea W 3 3 0 0 26:0 9
2 Malaysia W 3 2 0 1 2:6 6
3 Palestine W 3 1 0 2 3:11 3
4 Tajikistan W 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)