Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sri Pahang vs Kedah

Malaysia Malaysia

Super League 2024/2025 Darulmakmur Stadium, Kuantan
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Shas F.
27'
Manusi I.
31'
Aguero S.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024/2025 game between Sri Pahang and Kedah finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sri Pahang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Sri Pahang
20%
Draws
11%
Kedah
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sri Pahang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Sri Pahang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sri Pahang a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sri Pahang Clean Sheet 68%
Kedah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Pahang Kedah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 Super League
Sri Pahang vs Kedah
6:0
Sep 20, 2024 Super League
Kedah vs Sri Pahang
2:2
Aug 8, 2023 Super League
Kedah vs Sri Pahang
2:0
Apr 1, 2023 Super League
Sri Pahang vs Kedah
1:1
Aug 1, 2022 Super League
Sri Pahang vs Kedah
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sri Pahang Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguero S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cvetkovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Kedah Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Pahang 95 / 100
Kedah 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Pahang Kedah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Pahang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sri Pahang's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kedah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sri Pahang stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sri Pahang VS Kedah
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Pahang

(Home)
26 Apr
Johor DT
2 : 1
Sri Pahang
19 Apr
Sri Pahang
3 : 2
Penang
12 Apr
Perak
0 : 1
Sri Pahang
08 Apr
Sri Pahang
6 : 0
Kedah
08 Mar
PDRM FC
1 : 3
Sri Pahang
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Kedah

(Away)
08 Sept
Star City
2 : 0
Kedah
02 Sept
Kedah
2 : 2
Star City
20 Apr
Terengganu
3 : 0
Kedah
12 Apr
Kedah
1 : 1
Sabah
08 Apr
Sri Pahang
6 : 0
Kedah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Johor DT 24 23 1 0 90:8 70
2 Selangor 24 16 4 4 44:16 52
3 Sabah 24 11 7 6 41:33 40
4 Kuching City FC 24 10 9 5 38:28 39
5 Terengganu 24 9 8 7 35:26 35
6 Kuala Lumpur City 24 11 4 9 40:33 31
7 Perak 24 8 6 10 36:36 30
8 Sri Pahang 24 7 8 9 35:39 29
9 PDRM FC 24 7 6 11 25:36 27
10 Penang 24 6 8 10 31:38 26
11 Kedah 24 6 6 12 21:51 21
12 Negeri Sembilan FA 24 4 4 16 23:49 16
13 Kelantan The Real Warriors 24 2 1 21 16:82 7
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