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SS Murata vs Cailungo Prediction & H2H Stats

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
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Match Events

69' Event
Bua A.
Assist: Conti A.
82' Event
Michelucci R.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between SS Murata and Cailungo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cailungo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
SS Murata
15%
Draws
42%
Cailungo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SS Murata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Cailungo's 0.86 goals per match outpaces what SS Murata have produced (0.59).
  • Model gives Cailungo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SS Murata Cailungo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 2
Draws 1 4
Losses 26 23
Goals Scored 0.59 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.86 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Cailungo
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SS Murata
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SS Murata
1:0
Oct 18, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Cailungo
2:1
Feb 18, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SS Murata
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SS Murata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Cailungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bua A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Michelucci R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SS Murata 26 / 100
Cailungo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SS Murata Cailungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cailungo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cailungo let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Cailungo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: SS Murata scored in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

SS Murata VS Cailungo
1 Goals Scored 0.63
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SS Murata

(Home)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
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Cailungo

(Away)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)