Sport Picks
Match Events
50'
50'
Nappello U.
68'
68'
Vitaioli M.
Assist: Felipe J.
79'
79'
Felipe J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with La Fiorita advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: La Fiorita
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and La Fiorita come out ahead of SS Murata on wins alone.
- Model gives La Fiorita a 90% chance of winning this.
- La Fiorita arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor La Fiorita, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and La Fiorita have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SS Murata | La Fiorita |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 2 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 24 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.6 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.80 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.60 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs La Fiorita
0:2
Dec 10, 2025 Coppa Titano
La Fiorita vs SS Murata
1:2
Nov 26, 2025 Coppa Titano
SS Murata vs La Fiorita
0:3
Sep 21, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs SS Murata
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs SS Murata
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SS Murata Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4
La Fiorita Compare
Top Goalscorer Nappello U.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vitaioli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SS Murata 10 / 100
La Fiorita 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SS Murata La Fiorita
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
La Fiorita has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
La Fiorita lost 3 of their last 5 games.
SS Murata's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
SS Murata VS La Fiorita
0.8 Goals Scored 1.75
3.6 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 63%
60% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SS Murata
(Home) 26 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
5 : 2 SS Murata
18 Apr
SS Murata
1 : 4 Fiorentino
12 Apr
Virtus
4 : 1 SS Murata
08 Apr
SS Murata
0 : 3 Tre Fiori
21 Mar
SS Pennarossa
2 : 0 SS Murata
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18 Apr
SS Murata
1 : 4 Fiorentino
08 Apr
SS Murata
0 : 3 Tre Fiori
15 Mar
SS Murata
0 : 4 Tre Penne
01 Mar
SS Murata
0 : 3 SP Cosmos
14 Feb
SS Murata
1 : 4 San Marino Academy U22
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La Fiorita
(Away) 14 Jul
La Fiorita
0 : 2 UNA Strassen
07 Jul
UNA Strassen
1 : 0 La Fiorita
27 Jun
La Fiorita
1 : 1 Vardar
23 May
Tre Fiori
1 : 3 La Fiorita
16 May
Virtus
2 : 1 La Fiorita
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07 Jul
UNA Strassen
1 : 0 La Fiorita
23 May
Tre Fiori
1 : 3 La Fiorita
16 May
Virtus
2 : 1 La Fiorita
12 May
Tre Penne
0 : 1 La Fiorita
05 May
Fiorentino
3 : 2 La Fiorita
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Virtus-
TBD-
Cailungo2
AC Libertas3
San Giovanni3
SP Cosmos4
Tre Fiori4
SS Pennarossa1
Tre Penne5
SP Domagnano2
Fiorentino2
Juvenes/Dogana5
SS Murata3
SC Faetano1
Folgore0
La Fiorita1
Quarter-finals
Virtus6
AC Libertas1
SP Cosmos1
Tre Fiori7
Tre Penne1
Juvenes/Dogana2
SS Murata2
La Fiorita4
Semi-finals
Virtus0
Tre Fiori1
Juvenes/Dogana1
La Fiorita2
Final
Tre Fiori1
La Fiorita3