Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Fabbri F.
Assist: Berardi F.
19'
19'
Berardi F.
26'
26'
Badalassi I.
AI Match Summary
Tre Penne in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tre Penne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
15%
71%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- SS Murata haven't matched Tre Penne's recent run of results.
- 71% — that's where the model lands on Tre Penne taking it.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Tre Penne have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SS Murata | Tre Penne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 3 | 24 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 26 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 0.74 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.74 | 0.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 2.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Tre Penne
0:4
Nov 22, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SS Murata
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SS Murata
2:2
Dec 15, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Tre Penne
2:4
May 18, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Tre Penne
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SS Murata Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Tre Penne Compare
Top Goalscorer Fabbri F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Berardi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.28
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SS Murata 10 / 100
Tre Penne 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SS Murata Tre Penne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
SS Murata found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (31 games).
Tre Penne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.
SS Murata went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
SS Murata VS Tre Penne
1 Goals Scored 1.88
3.14 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
SS Murata
(Home) 18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3 Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0 SS Murata
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3 Virtus
18 Apr
SS Murata
1 : 4 Fiorentino
08 Apr
SS Murata
0 : 3 Tre Fiori
Page 1 of 3
Tre Penne
(Away) 20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
22 Aug
Fiorentino
1 : 4 Tre Penne
09 May
La Fiorita
1 : 1 Tre Penne
06 May
SP Cosmos
0 : 0 Tre Penne
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
