Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SS Nola 1925 vs Fidelis Andria

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Marquez F.
84' Event
Berardocco L.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Estrella Galeazzi F.

AI Match Summary

SS Nola 1925 in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SS Nola 1925.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
SS Nola 1925
30%
Draws
12%
Fidelis Andria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SS Nola 1925

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • SS Nola 1925 average 1.17 goals a game right now, well clear of Fidelis Andria's 0.9.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
SS Nola 1925 Clean Sheet 20%
Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SS Nola 1925 Fidelis Andria
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.17 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group H
SS Nola 1925 vs Fidelis Andria
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs SS Nola 1925
3:1
Apr 14, 2019 Serie D - Group H
SS Nola 1925 vs Fidelis Andria
0:3
Dec 9, 2018 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs SS Nola 1925
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SS Nola 1925 Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrella Galeazzi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.33

Fidelis Andria Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SS Nola 1925 32 / 100
Fidelis Andria 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SS Nola 1925 Fidelis Andria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SS Nola 1925 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: SS Nola 1925 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Fidelis Andria's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SS Nola 1925 VS Fidelis Andria
0.43 Goals Scored 0.88
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.88
43% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SS Nola 1925

(Home)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1
Martina Calcio
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0
SS Nola 1925
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0
Ferrandina
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 6

Fidelis Andria

(Away)
27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0
Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2
Fidelis Andria
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)