Sport Picks
SS Pennarossa vs Fiorentino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 
Match Events
47'
47'
Del Frari J.
55'
55'
Mema M.
67'
67'
Evaristi L.
AI Match Summary
SS Pennarossa in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SS Pennarossa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SS Pennarossa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Fiorentino have won more games recently than SS Pennarossa.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 10%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SS Pennarossa | Fiorentino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Fiorentino
3:1
Jan 20, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Fiorentino
2:4
Sep 14, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs SS Pennarossa
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Fiorentino
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs SS Pennarossa
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SS Pennarossa Compare
Top Goalscorer Mema M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Evaristi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Fiorentino Compare
Top Goalscorer Del Frari J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SS Pennarossa 30 / 100
Fiorentino 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SS Pennarossa Fiorentino
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fiorentino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
SS Pennarossa found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Fiorentino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Fiorentino lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
SS Pennarossa VS Fiorentino
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
SS Pennarossa
(Home) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
18 Apr
SS Pennarossa
0 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
21 Mar
SS Pennarossa
2 : 0 SS Murata
Page 1 of 3
Fiorentino
(Away) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2 Fiorentino
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2 Fiorentino
02 May
La Fiorita
1 : 0 Fiorentino
18 Apr
SS Murata
1 : 4 Fiorentino
07 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 3 Fiorentino
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Tre Penne | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 4 | Tre Fiori | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 5 | SP Cosmos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 7 | La Fiorita | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 8 | AC Libertas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 9 | Fiorentino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 11 | Cailungo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 12 | SS Murata | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 13 | San Giovanni | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 14 | SS Pennarossa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:16 | 3 |
| 15 | San Marino Academy U22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:5 | 2 |
| 16 | SC Faetano | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:9 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
