Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SSVg Velbert vs Dortmund II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Machtemes M.
45' Event
Pejazic M.
56' Event
Drakas B.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West 2025/2026 game between SSVg Velbert and Dortmund II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dortmund II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
SSVg Velbert
20%
Draws
44%
Dortmund II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dortmund II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • SSVg Velbert haven't matched Dortmund II's recent run of results.
  • SSVg Velbert are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dortmund II have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
SSVg Velbert Clean Sheet 10%
Dortmund II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SSVg Velbert Dortmund II
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.67 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Regionalliga West
SSVg Velbert vs Dortmund II
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Regionalliga West
Dortmund II vs SSVg Velbert
5:0
May 14, 2016 Regionalliga West
Dortmund II vs SSVg Velbert
3:0
Apr 13, 2016 Regionalliga West
SSVg Velbert vs Dortmund II
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SSVg Velbert Compare

Top Goalscorer Machtemes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Dortmund II Compare

Top Goalscorer Pejazic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Drakas B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SSVg Velbert 40 / 100
Dortmund II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SSVg Velbert Dortmund II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SSVg Velbert's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Dortmund II let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: SSVg Velbert stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SSVg Velbert VS Dortmund II
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SSVg Velbert

(Home)
27 Sept
SSVg Velbert
5 : 1
Dingden
20 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3
SSVg Velbert
12 Sept
SSVg Velbert
2 : 1
Buderich
06 Sept
Sonsbeck
4 : 2
SSVg Velbert
28 Aug
SSVg Velbert
3 : 5
Schonnebeck
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Dortmund II

(Away)
26 Sept
Dortmund II
4 : 2
Bocholt
21 Sept
Paderborn II
1 : 1
Dortmund II
16 Sept
Dortmund II
2 : 1
Westfalia Rhynern
13 Sept
Dortmund II
3 : 2
Rodinghausen
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach II
0 : 0
Dortmund II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortuna Koln 34 20 10 4 71:30 70
2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 34 19 9 6 60:40 66
3 Schalke II 34 18 7 9 77:50 61
4 Gutersloh 34 16 11 7 55:40 59
5 Dortmund II 34 16 10 8 66:50 58
6 B. Monchengladbach II 34 17 7 10 61:46 58
7 Siegen 34 14 12 8 62:43 54
8 Paderborn II 34 12 10 12 52:38 46
9 Bonner 34 12 10 12 38:42 46
10 Koln II 34 13 6 15 55:63 45
11 Lotte 34 11 12 11 45:55 45
12 Dusseldorf II 34 11 7 16 47:58 40
13 Bocholt 34 10 9 15 49:57 39
14 Bochum II 34 9 12 13 50:62 39
15 Rodinghausen 34 7 8 19 46:63 29
16 Wiedenbruck 34 7 8 19 39:65 29
17 Wuppertaler 34 5 11 18 36:70 26
18 SSVg Velbert 34 6 7 21 35:72 25
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)