Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SSVg Velbert vs Paderborn II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Kojic M.
54' Event
Bugenhagen J.
77' Event
Zajaczek A.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West 2025/2026 game between SSVg Velbert and Paderborn II finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paderborn II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
SSVg Velbert
20%
Draws
38%
Paderborn II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SSVg Velbert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Paderborn II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • SSVg Velbert are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Regionalliga West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
SSVg Velbert Clean Sheet 10%
Paderborn II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SSVg Velbert Paderborn II
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.69
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Regionalliga West
SSVg Velbert vs Paderborn II
1:3
Nov 15, 2025 Regionalliga West
Paderborn II vs SSVg Velbert
3:2
May 5, 2024 Regionalliga West
Paderborn II vs SSVg Velbert
1:1
Nov 10, 2023 Regionalliga West
SSVg Velbert vs Paderborn II
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SSVg Velbert Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Paderborn II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kojic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bugenhagen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SSVg Velbert 40 / 100
Paderborn II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SSVg Velbert Paderborn II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SSVg Velbert scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Paderborn II let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

SSVg Velbert has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SSVg Velbert VS Paderborn II
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SSVg Velbert

(Home)
27 Sept
SSVg Velbert
5 : 1
Dingden
20 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3
SSVg Velbert
12 Sept
SSVg Velbert
2 : 1
Buderich
06 Sept
Sonsbeck
4 : 2
SSVg Velbert
28 Aug
SSVg Velbert
3 : 5
Schonnebeck
Page 1 of 6

Paderborn II

(Away)
25 Sept
Gutersloh
1 : 3
Paderborn II
21 Sept
Paderborn II
1 : 1
Dortmund II
12 Sept
Wiedenbruck
1 : 0
Paderborn II
06 Sept
Paderborn II
5 : 2
SG Wattenscheid
02 Sept
Siegen
2 : 2
Paderborn II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortuna Koln 34 20 10 4 71:30 70
2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 34 19 9 6 60:40 66
3 Schalke II 34 18 7 9 77:50 61
4 Gutersloh 34 16 11 7 55:40 59
5 Dortmund II 34 16 10 8 66:50 58
6 B. Monchengladbach II 34 17 7 10 61:46 58
7 Siegen 34 14 12 8 62:43 54
8 Paderborn II 34 12 10 12 52:38 46
9 Bonner 34 12 10 12 38:42 46
10 Koln II 34 13 6 15 55:63 45
11 Lotte 34 11 12 11 45:55 45
12 Dusseldorf II 34 11 7 16 47:58 40
13 Bocholt 34 10 9 15 49:57 39
14 Bochum II 34 9 12 13 50:62 39
15 Rodinghausen 34 7 8 19 46:63 29
16 Wiedenbruck 34 7 8 19 39:65 29
17 Wuppertaler 34 5 11 18 36:70 26
18 SSVg Velbert 34 6 7 21 35:72 25
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)