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SSVg Velbert vs SC St.Tonis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SSVg Velbert host SC St.Tonis in the Oberliga Niederrhein. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: SSVg Velbert at 1.72 goals for, 1.9 against; SC St.Tonis at 2.03 for, 2.14 against. Past meetings favor SSVg Velbert slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2025, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 2.88 vs 2.13, favoring SSVg Velbert. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
SSVg Velbert
15%
Draws
36%
SC St.Tonis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SSVg Velbert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • SC St.Tonis's 2.03 goals per match outpaces what SSVg Velbert have produced (1.72).
  • SSVg Velbert are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • SSVg Velbert have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
SSVg Velbert Clean Sheet 10%
SC St.Tonis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SSVg Velbert SC St.Tonis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.72 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
SSVg Velbert vs SC St.Tonis
3:2
Sep 22, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC St.Tonis vs SSVg Velbert
1:1
Mar 22, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC St.Tonis vs SSVg Velbert
1:3
Sep 21, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
SSVg Velbert vs SC St.Tonis
4:0
Oct 29, 2021 Oberliga Niederrhein
SSVg Velbert vs SC St.Tonis
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SSVg Velbert 47 / 100
SC St.Tonis 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SSVg Velbert SC St.Tonis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SSVg Velbert Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SSVg Velbert scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

SC St.Tonis let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

SSVg Velbert has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SSVg Velbert VS SC St.Tonis
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

SSVg Velbert

(Home)
02 Oct
Uerdingen
1 : 2
SSVg Velbert
27 Sept
SSVg Velbert
5 : 1
Dingden
20 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3
SSVg Velbert
12 Sept
SSVg Velbert
2 : 1
Buderich
06 Sept
Sonsbeck
4 : 2
SSVg Velbert
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SC St.Tonis

(Away)
02 Oct
Dingden
1 : 0
SC St.Tonis
27 Sept
SC St.Tonis
4 : 0
Buderich
18 Sept
Schonnebeck
3 : 1
SC St.Tonis
13 Sept
SC St.Tonis
2 : 1
Wuppertaler
09 Sept
Juchen-Garzweiler
1 : 3
SC St.Tonis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schonnebeck 8 7 1 0 31:10 22
2 SSVg Velbert 8 6 0 2 22:13 18
3 Dusseldorf II 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
4 SC St.Tonis 8 4 2 2 17:12 14
5 Baumberg 8 4 2 2 18:16 14
6 Uerdingen 8 4 1 3 19:9 13
7 Sonsbeck 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
8 Juchen-Garzweiler 8 4 1 3 18:18 13
9 Dingden 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
10 Solingen-Wald 8 4 0 4 16:20 12
11 Germania Ratingen 8 2 5 1 14:14 11
12 FC Monheim 8 2 3 3 15:13 9
13 Scherpenberg 8 2 2 4 11:18 8
14 Wuppertaler 8 2 1 5 11:10 7
15 SW Essen 8 1 3 4 11:18 6
16 Buderich 8 1 2 5 10:24 5
17 Holzheim 8 1 1 6 10:28 4
18 Meerbusch 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)