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St. Andrews vs Gzira Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy
St. Andrews Logo

St. Andrews

0 - 2
FT
Gzira Logo

Gzira

Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Martinez S.
71' Event
Andre Carlos
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
St. Andrews
30%
Draws
23%
Gzira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Andrews

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Andrews have won more games recently than Gzira.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • St. Andrews have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gzira, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 18%
Gzira Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Andrews Gzira
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2026 FA Trophy
St. Andrews vs Gzira
0:2
Apr 26, 2019 Premier League
St. Andrews vs Gzira
1:0
Dec 14, 2018 Premier League
Gzira vs St. Andrews
2:1
Feb 2, 2018 Premier League
Gzira vs St. Andrews
1:1
Sep 24, 2017 Premier League
St. Andrews vs Gzira
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Andrews Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Gzira Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andre Carlos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Andrews 31 / 100
Gzira 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Andrews Gzira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Andrews Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Andrews's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gzira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Gzira registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Andrews VS Gzira
0.8 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 50%
60% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Andrews

(Home)
18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0
St. Andrews
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3
Birzebbuga
Page 1 of 6

Gzira

(Away)
14 Sept
Gzira
0 : 0
Zabbar
02 Sept
Floriana
4 : 1
Gzira
29 Aug
Balzan FC
2 : 1
Gzira
23 Aug
Gzira
0 : 3
Valletta
17 Aug
Birkirkara
4 : 0
Gzira
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1