Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
St. Asaph in this FA Cup 2014/2015 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
15%
47%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Meliden
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to St. Asaph lately — more wins on the board than Meliden.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- St. Asaph have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor St. Asaph, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.6%
St. Asaph Clean Sheet 10%
Meliden Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Asaph | Meliden |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 11 | 4 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.18 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 8, 2014 FAW Welsh Cup
St. Asaph vs Meliden
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Asaph 30 / 100
Meliden 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Asaph Meliden
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Meliden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Meliden has conceded goals in 75% of their last 4 outings.
Meliden lost 3 of their last 5 games.
St. Asaph scored in 45% of their last 11 games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
St. Asaph VS Meliden
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Asaph
(Home) 20 Sept
St. Asaph
0 : 6 Bangor 1876
20 Jun
Mold Alexandra
2 : 0 St. Asaph
21 Sept
St. Asaph
0 : 2 Llangollen
14 Oct
St. Asaph
0 : 1 Prestatyn
16 Sept
St. Asaph
1 : 0 Llandudno Junction
Page 1 of 3
20 Sept
St. Asaph
0 : 6 Bangor 1876
21 Sept
St. Asaph
0 : 2 Llangollen
14 Oct
St. Asaph
0 : 1 Prestatyn
16 Sept
St. Asaph
1 : 0 Llandudno Junction
01 Oct
St. Asaph
0 : 8 Prestatyn
Page 1 of 2
Meliden
(Away) 26 Jun
Meliden
0 : 4 Prestatyn
07 Oct
Meliden
0 : 4 Ruthin Town
08 Nov
St. Asaph
1 : 0 Meliden
04 Oct
Rhydymwyn
0 : 3 Meliden
08 Nov
St. Asaph
1 : 0 Meliden
04 Oct
Rhydymwyn
0 : 3 Meliden
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Carno FC 0
STM Sports 0
Haverfordwest 2
Prestatyn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 5
Sully Sports 2
Llwydcoed 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 9
Holywell Town FC 4
Hay St. Marys 2
Welshpool 0
Mold Alexandra 4
Waterloo Rovers 2
Llanuwchllyn 1
Ruthin Town 2
Buckley 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont 1
Dinas Powys 0
Ton Pentre 0
Monmouth 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Gresford 3
Llay Welfare 1
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Llanfair United 3
Meliden 3
Rhydymwyn 0
Llangefni 3
St. Asaph 6
Caernarfon 4
Porthmadog 0
Penycae FC 1
Guilsfield 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llangollen 3
Llandrindod 2
Brynford 0
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
Tiger Bay 3
Trefelin 2
Butetown FC 2
Dynamo Aber 4
Llanberis FC 6
Nantlle Vale FC 5
Llandudno FC 0
Caersws FC 1
Conwy Borough 2
Holyhead 0
Coedpoeth 0
Denbigh 3
Aberdare Town 4
Barry Town 2
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Briton Ferry 4
Garden Village 9
AFC Porth 0
Canton 1
Risca United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor City -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Albion Rovers 3
Cardiff Corries 1
Cambrian United 0
Undy 2
Penrhyncoch 2
Flint Town 1
Gaerwen 0
Llanidloes Town 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Llanelli 1
Taffs Well 0
Caerau Ely 3
Llanrhaeadr 4
Glan Conwy FC 2
Kerry 1
Brickfield Rangers 2
Marshfield 2
Tata Steel 1
Chepstow Town 0
Afan Lido 4
Goytre Utd 4
Goytre AFC 0
Pontardawe 0
Cornelly 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Haverfordwest 2
Prestatyn -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Waterloo Rovers 0
Buckley 6
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
Penybont 1
Monmouth 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Gresford 2
Llanfair United 1
Meliden 0
St. Asaph 1
Caernarfon 1
Guilsfield 0
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
Llangollen 2
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 5
Tiger Bay 3
Dynamo Aber 2
Llanberis FC 0
Caersws FC 3
Conwy Borough 5
Denbigh 0
Aberdare Town 1
Briton Ferry 5
Garden Village 2
Risca United 1
TBD -
Bangor City -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Albion Rovers 0
Undy 2
Penrhyncoch 2
Llanidloes Town 0
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llanrhaeadr 2
Brickfield Rangers 1
Marshfield 1
Afan Lido 4
Goytre Utd 5
Cornelly 1
TBD -
Rhyl -
1/16-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Haverfordwest 0
Prestatyn 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Holywell Town FC 1
Buckley 0
Cefn Druids 1
Aberystwyth 5
Connahs Q. 5
Monmouth 3
Port Talbot 1
Bala 2
Gresford 5
St. Asaph 0
Caernarfon 2
TNS 3
Newtown 2
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 0
Tiger Bay 0
Caersws FC 4
Conwy Borough 4
Briton Ferry 3
Garden Village 0
Bangor City 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Undy 2
Penrhyncoch 0
Caerau Ely 5
Llanrhaeadr 3
Afan Lido 0
Goytre Utd 1
Rhyl 2
1/8-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Holywell Town FC 0
Aberystwyth 1
Connahs Q. 3
Bala 2
Gresford 0
TNS 3
Newtown 3
Caersws FC 2
Conwy Borough 0
Bangor City 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Caerau Ely 0
Llanrhaeadr 2
Rhyl 4
Quarter-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Aberystwyth 1
Connahs Q. 0
TNS 1
Newtown 2
Bangor City 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Rhyl 2
Semi-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
TNS 4
Newtown 2
Rhyl 1
Final
TNS 2
Newtown 0
