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St. Charles vs Springfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League Two 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Charles in this USL League Two 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Charles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
St. Charles
15%
Draws
28%
Springfield
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Charles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Charles lately — more wins on the board than Springfield.
  • Win probability leans St. Charles's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
St. Charles Clean Sheet 17%
Springfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Charles Springfield
Matches Played 24 26
Wins 12 4
Draws 3 1
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 2.5 0.92
Goals Conceded 2.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2023 USL League Two
St. Charles vs Springfield
1:0
Jun 5, 2023 USL League Two
Springfield vs St. Charles
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Charles 84 / 100
Springfield 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Charles Springfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Charles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Charles found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (24 games).

Springfield's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Springfield lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Charles VS Springfield
2 Goals Scored 0.6
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 60%
63% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Charles

(Home)
11 Jul
St. Charles
5 : 2
Sueno
03 Jul
St. Charles
1 : 2
Menace
29 Jun
St. Charles
1 : 2
Peoria IL
23 Jun
Peoria IL
0 : 3
St. Charles
16 Jun
Menace
4 : 2
St. Charles
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Springfield

(Away)
14 Jul
FC Wichita
5 : 0
Springfield
10 Jul
Peoria IL
6 : 1
Springfield
06 Jul
Springfield
0 : 2
Peoria IL
02 Jul
Chicago Dutch Lions
1 : 2
Springfield
28 Jun
St. Charles
1 : 0
Springfield
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