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St. Colomban Locmine vs Les Herbiers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Billy J.
86' Event
Tjomb G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
St. Colomban Locmine
15%
Draws
51%
Les Herbiers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Les Herbiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Les Herbiers lately — more wins on the board than St. Colomban Locmine.
  • St. Colomban Locmine are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
St. Colomban Locmine Clean Sheet 20%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Colomban Locmine Les Herbiers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National 1 - Group B
St. Colomban Locmine vs Les Herbiers
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 National 1 - Group A
St. Colomban Locmine vs Les Herbiers
2:0
Oct 17, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Les Herbiers vs St. Colomban Locmine
2:0
Mar 21, 2025 National 1 - Group B
St. Colomban Locmine vs Les Herbiers
0:1
Nov 2, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Les Herbiers vs St. Colomban Locmine
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Colomban Locmine Compare

Top Goalscorer Tjomb G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Les Herbiers Compare

Top Goalscorer Billy J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Colomban Locmine 42 / 100
Les Herbiers 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Colomban Locmine Les Herbiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Les Herbiers has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

St. Colomban Locmine scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Les Herbiers registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Colomban Locmine VS Les Herbiers
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Colomban Locmine

(Home)
03 Oct
Granville
2 : 1
St. Colomban Locmine
18 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 0
Avranches
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
05 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
0 : 1
Dinan
28 Aug
Stade Briochin
0 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
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Les Herbiers

(Away)
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
29 Aug
Dinan
2 : 0
Les Herbiers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
2 Bayonne 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
3 Granville 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
4 Avranches 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
5 Dinan 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Saint-Malo 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
7 Tarbes 6 2 3 1 3:2 9
8 Lorient II 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Stade Briochin 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
11 Les Herbiers 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
12 St. Colomban Locmine 6 1 2 3 3:5 5
13 Saumur Olympique 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
14 Pontivy 6 0 3 3 5:10 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 6 0 3 3 3:10 3
16 Chauray 6 0 1 5 3:11 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)