Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St Eloi Lupopo vs Mazembe

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 Stade de la Victoire, Lubumbashi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between St Eloi Lupopo and Mazembe finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St Eloi Lupopo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
St Eloi Lupopo
35%
Draws
38%
Mazembe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mazembe come out ahead of St Eloi Lupopo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mazembe's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
St Eloi Lupopo Clean Sheet 20%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Eloi Lupopo Mazembe
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 22
Draws 10 4
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.07 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs St Eloi Lupopo
0:0
May 5, 2026 Ligue 1
St Eloi Lupopo vs Mazembe
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs St Eloi Lupopo
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue 1
St Eloi Lupopo vs Mazembe
2:1
Jun 24, 2025 Ligue 1
St Eloi Lupopo vs Mazembe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Eloi Lupopo 20 / 100
Mazembe 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Eloi Lupopo Mazembe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazembe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: St Eloi Lupopo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

St Eloi Lupopo found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Mazembe conceded in 30% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

St Eloi Lupopo VS Mazembe
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St Eloi Lupopo

(Home)
20 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 0
AS Vita Club
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1
Celeste
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
11 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
0 : 0
Don Bosco
06 Jun
Simba
0 : 3
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6

Mazembe

(Away)
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1
Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 14 9 3 2 25:7 30
2 Aigles du Congo 14 8 5 1 21:10 29
3 AS Maniema 14 7 2 5 16:16 23
4 AS Vita Club 14 5 4 5 11:12 19
5 St Eloi Lupopo 14 4 6 4 11:9 18
6 Don Bosco 14 4 5 5 13:17 17
7 Simba 14 2 5 7 9:18 11
8 Celeste 14 0 4 10 8:25 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)