Sport Picks

France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne

0 - 1

Boulogne

Our Tip

Match Events

Lecolier M.

Assist: El Farissi A.

16'

Ferreira J.

26'

Ferreira J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between St Etienne and Boulogne finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boulogne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

St Etienne

30%

Draws

34%

Boulogne

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and St Etienne come out ahead of Boulogne on wins alone.
Win probability leans St Etienne's way, sitting at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

St Etienne Clean Sheet 19%

Boulogne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St Etienne	Boulogne
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	13	7
Draws	6	9
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.25	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Ligue 2

St Etienne vs Boulogne

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Aug 23, 2025 Ligue 2

Boulogne vs St Etienne

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Mar 3, 2015 Coupe de France

Boulogne vs St Etienne

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

May 5, 2010 Ligue 1

Boulogne vs St Etienne

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Aug 22, 2009 Ligue 1

St Etienne vs Boulogne

Possession: 43% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Etienne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Boulogne Compare

Top Goalscorer Lecolier M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne 36 / 100

Boulogne 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St Etienne Boulogne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St Etienne scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Boulogne let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

St Etienne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Boulogne has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne VS Boulogne

1.25 Goals Scored 0.88

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Troyes	34	20	7	7	60:33	67
2	Le Mans	34	16	14	4	50:31	62
3	St Etienne	34	18	6	10	59:38	60
4	Red Star	34	16	10	8	45:37	58
5	Rodez	34	15	13	6	45:39	58
6	Reims	34	14	14	6	53:35	56
7	Annecy	34	15	7	12	49:39	52
8	Montpellier	34	14	9	11	41:31	51
9	Pau	34	12	9	13	48:62	45
10	Dunkerque	34	11	10	13	53:45	43
11	Guingamp	34	10	10	14	42:49	40
12	Grenoble	34	8	15	11	33:39	39
13	Clermont	34	9	10	15	38:44	37
14	Nancy	34	9	10	15	35:52	37
15	Boulogne	34	9	9	16	34:49	36
16	Laval	34	6	14	14	30:48	32
17	Bastia	34	5	13	16	23:39	28
18	Amiens SC	34	6	6	22	37:65	24
19	AC Ajaccio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0