Sport Picks
St Etienne vs Boulogne
France
Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne 
Match Events
8'
8'
Lecolier M.
Assist: El Farissi A.
16'
16'
Ferreira J.
26'
26'
Ferreira J.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between St Etienne and Boulogne finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boulogne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St Etienne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and St Etienne come out ahead of Boulogne on wins alone.
- Win probability leans St Etienne's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 20%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St Etienne | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Boulogne
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs St Etienne
0:1
Mar 3, 2015 Coupe de France
Boulogne vs St Etienne
1:2
May 5, 2010 Ligue 1
Boulogne vs St Etienne
0:1
Aug 22, 2009 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Boulogne
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St Etienne Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Boulogne Compare
Top Goalscorer Lecolier M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St Etienne 85 / 100
Boulogne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St Etienne Boulogne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St Etienne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: St Etienne scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
St Etienne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Boulogne let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
St Etienne VS Boulogne
3.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
St Etienne
(Home) 19 Sept
Metz
2 : 2 St Etienne
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1 St Etienne
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1 Montpellier
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3 St Etienne
22 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 0 Grenoble
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1 Montpellier
22 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 0 Grenoble
14 Aug
St Etienne
3 : 1 Clermont
01 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 3 Venezia
29 Jul
St Etienne
4 : 0 Lausanne
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Boulogne
(Away) 19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2 Nantes
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0 Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1 Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0 Boulogne
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1 Red Star
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0 Boulogne
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0 Boulogne
14 Aug
Guingamp
1 : 0 Boulogne
31 Jul
Valenciennes
1 : 1 Boulogne
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1 Boulogne
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Troyes | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 60:33 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 50:31 | 62 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:38 | 60 |
| 4 | Red Star | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 45:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Rodez | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 45:39 | 58 |
| 6 | Reims | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 53:35 | 56 |
| 7 | Annecy | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 9 | Pau | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 48:62 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 53:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:49 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 33:39 | 39 |
| 13 | Clermont | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:44 | 37 |
| 14 | Nancy | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:49 | 36 |
| 16 | Laval | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 30:48 | 32 |
| 17 | Bastia | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:39 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens SC | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 37:65 | 24 |
| 19 | AC Ajaccio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)
