Sport Picks

France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne

2 - 1

Dunkerque

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Stassin L.

Assist: Boakye A.

26'

Robinet T.

(Penalty)

27'

Doucet L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St Etienne in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St Etienne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

St Etienne

40%

Draws

29%

Dunkerque

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

St Etienne have won more games recently than Dunkerque.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

St Etienne Clean Sheet 18%

Dunkerque Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St Etienne	Dunkerque
Matches Played	28	26
Wins	13	9
Draws	6	5
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 2

St Etienne vs Dunkerque

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 2

Dunkerque vs St Etienne

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Feb 3, 2024 Ligue 2

Dunkerque vs St Etienne

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Oct 4, 2023 Ligue 2

St Etienne vs Dunkerque

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Etienne Compare

Top Goalscorer Stassin L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Davitashvili Z.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Dunkerque Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne 32 / 100

Dunkerque 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St Etienne Dunkerque

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque let in goals in 85% of their last 26 matches.

St Etienne's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: St Etienne stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne VS Dunkerque

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Troyes	34	20	7	7	60:33	67
2	Le Mans	34	16	14	4	50:31	62
3	St Etienne	34	18	6	10	59:38	60
4	Red Star	34	16	10	8	45:37	58
5	Rodez	34	15	13	6	45:39	58
6	Reims	34	14	14	6	53:35	56
7	Annecy	34	15	7	12	49:39	52
8	Montpellier	34	14	9	11	41:31	51
9	Pau	34	12	9	13	48:62	45
10	Dunkerque	34	11	10	13	53:45	43
11	Guingamp	34	10	10	14	42:49	40
12	Grenoble	34	8	15	11	33:39	39
13	Clermont	34	9	10	15	38:44	37
14	Nancy	34	9	10	15	35:52	37
15	Boulogne	34	9	9	16	34:49	36
16	Laval	34	6	14	14	30:48	32
17	Bastia	34	5	13	16	23:39	28
18	Amiens SC	34	6	6	22	37:65	24
19	AC Ajaccio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0