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Stadium Background

St Etienne vs Dunkerque

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Stassin L.
Assist: Boakye A.
26' Event
Robinet T.
(Penalty)
27'
Doucet L.

AI Match Summary

St Etienne in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St Etienne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
St Etienne
33%
Draws
40%
Dunkerque
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dunkerque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • St Etienne have won more games recently than Dunkerque.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Dunkerque taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 16%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne Dunkerque
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Dunkerque
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs St Etienne
1:0
Feb 3, 2024 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs St Etienne
1:0
Oct 4, 2023 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Dunkerque
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Etienne Compare

Top Goalscorer Stassin L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davitashvili Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dunkerque Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne 28 / 100
Dunkerque 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne Dunkerque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

St Etienne's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Dunkerque's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne VS Dunkerque
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St Etienne

(Home)
22 Jul
Rangers
2 : 1
St Etienne
18 Jul
Servette
1 : 0
St Etienne
11 Jul
St Etienne
2 : 2
Biel
29 May
Nice
4 : 1
St Etienne
26 May
St Etienne
0 : 0
Nice
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Dunkerque

(Away)
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1
Samsunspor
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0
St. Liege
10 Jul
Anderlecht
2 : 1
Dunkerque
04 Jul
Dunkerque
0 : 2
Valenciennes
09 May
Nancy
3 : 2
Dunkerque
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)