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St Etienne vs Nantes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Etienne host Nantes in the Ligue 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: St Etienne at 2.07 goals for, 1.07 against; Nantes at 1.1 for, 1.34 against. Head-to-head, St Etienne have won 0 to Nantes's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Jan 19, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.25 - 1.25) back St Etienne to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
St Etienne
30%
Draws
31%
Nantes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St Etienne lately — more wins on the board than Nantes.
  • St Etienne are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 19%
Nantes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne Nantes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Nantes
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Ligue 1
Nantes vs St Etienne
2:2
May 21, 2022 Ligue 1
Nantes vs St Etienne
1:1
Dec 22, 2021 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Nantes
0:1
Feb 3, 2021 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Nantes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne 76 / 100
Nantes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne Nantes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Etienne found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Nantes let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: St Etienne stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne VS Nantes
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St Etienne

(Home)
10 Oct
St Etienne
2 : 0
Rodez
02 Oct
St Etienne
5 : 1
Sion
19 Sept
Metz
2 : 2
St Etienne
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1
Montpellier
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Nantes

(Away)
10 Oct
Nantes
0 : 0
Reims
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0
Nantes
07 Sept
Nantes
1 : 0
Nancy
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3
Nantes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
2 Red Star 8 5 2 1 12:9 17
3 Montpellier 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
4 Reims 8 3 5 0 15:9 14
5 Nancy 8 4 1 3 9:7 13
6 Annecy 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
7 Pau 8 3 2 3 9:8 11
8 Sochaux 8 2 5 1 5:6 11
9 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
10 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
11 Guingamp 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
12 Dunkerque 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
13 Nantes 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
14 Grenoble 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
15 Rodez 8 2 1 5 14:18 7
16 Boulogne 8 0 6 2 4:6 6
17 Clermont 8 0 6 2 6:9 6
18 Laval 8 1 2 5 10:17 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)