Sport Picks

France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne

2 - 0

Red Star

Our Tip

Match Events

53'

Sub

Khaoui S. E. In: Haag G.

Out: Khaoui S. E.

55'

Sub

Miladinovic I. In: Moueffek A.

Out: Miladinovic I.

65'

Pedro K.

Assist: Davitashvili Z.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St Etienne in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St Etienne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

St Etienne

44%

Draws

20%

Red Star

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

St Etienne have won more games recently than Red Star.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

St Etienne Clean Sheet 13%

Red Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St Etienne	Red Star
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	13	10
Draws	6	8
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	1.25	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Ligue 2

St Etienne vs Red Star

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Nov 1, 2025 Ligue 2

Red Star vs St Etienne

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Feb 10, 2015 Coupe de France

Red Star vs St Etienne

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Jan 28, 2000 Coupe de la Ligue

St Etienne vs Red Star

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 1 - 4

1:3

Mar 10, 1999 Ligue 2

Red Star vs St Etienne

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Etienne Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Stassin L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Red Star Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne 35 / 100

Red Star 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St Etienne Red Star

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RED Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Etienne's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Red Star let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: St Etienne stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne VS Red Star

1.25 Goals Scored 1.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Troyes	34	20	7	7	60:33	67
2	Le Mans	34	16	14	4	50:31	62
3	St Etienne	34	18	6	10	59:38	60
4	Red Star	34	16	10	8	45:37	58
5	Rodez	34	15	13	6	45:39	58
6	Reims	34	14	14	6	53:35	56
7	Annecy	34	15	7	12	49:39	52
8	Montpellier	34	14	9	11	41:31	51
9	Pau	34	12	9	13	48:62	45
10	Dunkerque	34	11	10	13	53:45	43
11	Guingamp	34	10	10	14	42:49	40
12	Grenoble	34	8	15	11	33:39	39
13	Clermont	34	9	10	15	38:44	37
14	Nancy	34	9	10	15	35:52	37
15	Boulogne	34	9	9	16	34:49	36
16	Laval	34	6	14	14	30:48	32
17	Bastia	34	5	13	16	23:39	28
18	Amiens SC	34	6	6	22	37:65	24
19	AC Ajaccio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0