Sport Picks
St Etienne vs Troyes
France
Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne 
Match Events
16'
16'
Sub
Davitashvili Z. In: Duffus J.
Out: Davitashvili Z.
35'
35'
Adeline M.
49'
49'
Boakye A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between St Etienne and Troyes finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Troyes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St Etienne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Troyes come out ahead of St Etienne on wins alone.
- Win probability leans St Etienne's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors St Etienne here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 16%
Troyes Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St Etienne | Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Troyes
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 Ligue 2
Troyes vs St Etienne
2:3
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
St Etienne vs Troyes
1:0
Feb 12, 2024 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Troyes
5:0
Sep 30, 2023 Ligue 2
Troyes vs St Etienne
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St Etienne Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Troyes Compare
Top Goalscorer Ifnaoui M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bentayeb T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St Etienne 39 / 100
Troyes 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St Etienne Troyes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St Etienne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: St Etienne scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Troyes has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
St Etienne has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
St Etienne VS Troyes
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
St Etienne
(Home) 14 Aug
St Etienne
3 : 1 Clermont
08 Aug
Sochaux
0 : 3 St Etienne
01 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 3 Venezia
29 Jul
St Etienne
4 : 0 Lausanne
22 Jul
Rangers
2 : 1 St Etienne
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14 Aug
St Etienne
3 : 1 Clermont
01 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 3 Venezia
29 Jul
St Etienne
4 : 0 Lausanne
11 Jul
St Etienne
2 : 2 Biel
26 May
St Etienne
0 : 0 Nice
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Troyes
(Away) 14 Aug
Troyes
1 : 1 Panetolikos
08 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 1 Troyes
31 Jul
Troyes
5 : 2 GOAL FC
25 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 3 Troyes
18 Jul
Troyes
1 : 0 Red Star
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 1 Troyes
25 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 3 Troyes
11 Jul
Nancy
1 : 3 Troyes
09 May
Grenoble
1 : 0 Troyes
25 Apr
St Etienne
0 : 3 Troyes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Troyes | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 60:33 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 50:31 | 62 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:38 | 60 |
| 4 | Red Star | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 45:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Rodez | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 45:39 | 58 |
| 6 | Reims | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 53:35 | 56 |
| 7 | Annecy | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 9 | Pau | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 48:62 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 53:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:49 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 33:39 | 39 |
| 13 | Clermont | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:44 | 37 |
| 14 | Nancy | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:49 | 36 |
| 16 | Laval | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 30:48 | 32 |
| 17 | Bastia | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:39 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens SC | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 37:65 | 24 |
| 19 | AC Ajaccio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)
