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St Etienne W vs Le Mans W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Stade Salif Keita, Saint-Étienne
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
St Etienne W
30%
Draws
37%
Le Mans W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • St Etienne W haven't matched Le Mans W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Le Mans W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Le Mans W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
St Etienne W Clean Sheet 19%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne W Le Mans W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
St Etienne W vs Le Mans W
0:2
Sep 13, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
St Etienne W vs Le Mans W
1:1
May 29, 2011 Premiere Ligue Women
St Etienne W vs Le Mans W
0:0
Apr 3, 2011 Coupe de France Women
St Etienne W vs Le Mans W
1:0
Sep 5, 2010 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs St Etienne W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne W 31 / 100
Le Mans W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne W Le Mans W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: St Etienne W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

St Etienne W's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Le Mans W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne W VS Le Mans W
2 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St Etienne W

(Home)
21 Oct
St Etienne W
0 : 2
Le Mans W
17 Oct
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Metz W
26 Sept
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Nantes W
20 Sept
Bourges 18 W
0 : 3
St Etienne W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
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Le Mans W

(Away)
21 Oct
St Etienne W
0 : 2
Le Mans W
18 Oct
Le Mans W
0 : 0
Cannes W
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Strasbourg W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
3 Auxerre W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
4 Lens W 4 2 0 2 6:5 7
5 Thonon Evian W 4 3 0 1 7:11 7
6 Fleury 91 W 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
7 Le Mans W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
8 St Etienne W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
9 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
10 Roubaix W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
11 Saint-Malo W 3 2 0 1 4:2 5
12 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
13 Montpellier W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
14 Cannes W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
15 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
16 Lille W 4 0 0 4 5:8 2
17 Nice W 3 1 0 2 4:9 2
18 Bourges 18 W 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
19 Toulouse W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)