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St Francis vs Mayo FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Francis host Mayo FC in the National League. This has Mayo FC written all over it on paper. St Francis have averaged 0.81 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Mayo FC's 1 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Mayo FC slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.90 xG vs 1.18) point toward Mayo FC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
St Francis
20%
Draws
34%
Mayo FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St Francis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Mayo FC haven't matched St Francis's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on St Francis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
St Francis Clean Sheet 20%
Mayo FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Francis Mayo FC
Matches Played 31 6
Wins 4 3
Draws 9 0
Losses 18 3
Goals Scored 0.81 1
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National League
Mayo FC vs St Francis
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Francis 85 / 100
Mayo FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Francis Mayo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Francis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mayo FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 6 matches.

St Francis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Mayo FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

St Francis found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

St Francis VS Mayo FC
0.5 Goals Scored 0.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

St Francis

(Home)
10 Oct
Letterkenny Rovers
0 : 3
St Francis
26 Sept
St Francis
4 : 1
Salthill
19 Sept
TU Dublin
1 : 1
St Francis
12 Sept
St Francis
1 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
29 Aug
Mayo FC
1 : 0
St Francis
Page 1 of 7

Mayo FC

(Away)
10 Oct
TU Dublin
0 : 1
Mayo FC
03 Oct
Mayo FC
2 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
19 Sept
Salthill
2 : 0
Mayo FC
12 Sept
Mayo FC
2 : 3
TU Dublin
05 Sept
Letterkenny Rovers
3 : 0
Mayo FC
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 6 4 2 0 18:5 14
2 Lucan Utd 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
3 Mervue United 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
4 Bonagee 5 0 1 4 4:13 1
5 Cockhill 5 0 1 4 3:14 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mayo FC 6 3 0 3 6:9 9
2 St Francis 5 2 2 1 9:4 8
3 Salthill 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
4 Letterkenny Rovers 6 2 1 3 12:13 7
5 TU Dublin 6 1 3 2 10:13 6
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 6 5 1 0 25:6 16
2 CK United FC 6 3 2 1 12:12 11
3 University College Cork 5 2 1 2 8:11 7
4 Killarney Celtic 5 0 2 3 7:11 2
5 Newbridge Town 6 0 2 4 6:18 2
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams