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St Francis vs Salthill

Ireland Ireland

National League
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AI Match Summary

The National League game between St Francis and Salthill finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St Francis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
St Francis
30%
Draws
41%
Salthill
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salthill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • St Francis haven't matched Salthill's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on St Francis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
St Francis Clean Sheet 20%
Salthill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Francis Salthill
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 11 3
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.78 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 National League
St Francis vs Salthill
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Francis 42 / 100
Salthill 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Francis Salthill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salthill's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

St Francis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

St Francis's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

St Francis VS Salthill
1.17 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St Francis

(Home)
26 Sept
St Francis
4 : 1
Salthill
19 Sept
TU Dublin
1 : 1
St Francis
12 Sept
St Francis
1 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
29 Aug
Mayo FC
1 : 0
St Francis
18 May
Midleton
3 : 0
St Francis
Page 1 of 7

Salthill

(Away)
26 Sept
St Francis
4 : 1
Salthill
19 Sept
Salthill
2 : 0
Mayo FC
06 Sept
TU Dublin
2 : 2
Salthill
29 Aug
Salthill
4 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
23 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 0
Salthill
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 4 3 1 0 14:3 10
2 Mervue United 5 2 2 1 6:9 8
3 Lucan Utd 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Bonagee 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
5 Cockhill 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Letterkenny Rovers 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
2 Salthill 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
3 St Francis 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 TU Dublin 4 1 2 1 9:11 5
5 Mayo FC 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 4 3 1 0 16:6 10
2 CK United FC 4 2 2 0 9:7 8
3 University College Cork 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Killarney Celtic 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
5 Newbridge Town 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams