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St Francis vs TU Dublin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Francis host TU Dublin in the National League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: St Francis at 0.73 goals for, 1.6 against; TU Dublin at 2 for, 2.4 against. Head-to-head, St Francis have won 0 to TU Dublin's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.10 - 1.34) back TU Dublin to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
St Francis
35%
Draws
35%
TU Dublin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • St Francis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • St Francis are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
St Francis Clean Sheet 18%
TU Dublin Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Francis TU Dublin
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 3 1
Draws 9 3
Losses 18 1
Goals Scored 0.73 2
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 National League
TU Dublin vs St Francis
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Francis 58 / 100
TU Dublin 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Francis TU Dublin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Francis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: TU Dublin conceded in 100% of 5 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

St Francis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

St Francis found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

St Francis VS TU Dublin
0.5 Goals Scored 1.43
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.71
50% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

St Francis

(Home)
26 Sept
St Francis
4 : 1
Salthill
19 Sept
TU Dublin
1 : 1
St Francis
12 Sept
St Francis
1 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
29 Aug
Mayo FC
1 : 0
St Francis
18 May
Midleton
3 : 0
St Francis
Page 1 of 6

TU Dublin

(Away)
03 Oct
TU Dublin
1 : 1
Salthill
26 Sept
Letterkenny Rovers
6 : 3
TU Dublin
19 Sept
TU Dublin
1 : 1
St Francis
12 Sept
Mayo FC
2 : 3
TU Dublin
06 Sept
TU Dublin
2 : 2
Salthill

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 5 3 2 0 16:5 11
2 Mervue United 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
3 Lucan Utd 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Bonagee 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
5 Cockhill 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salthill 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
2 Letterkenny Rovers 5 2 1 2 12:10 7
3 TU Dublin 5 1 3 1 10:12 6
4 Mayo FC 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
5 St Francis 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 5 4 1 0 20:6 13
2 CK United FC 6 3 2 1 12:12 11
3 University College Cork 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Killarney Celtic 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
5 Newbridge Town 5 0 1 4 5:17 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams