Sport Picks
St. George City vs Sutherland Sharks
Australia
NPL NSW Penshurst Park, Sydney 
Match Events
70'
70'
Domoto H.
AI Match Summary
The NPL NSW game between St. George City and Sutherland Sharks finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. George City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. George City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sutherland Sharks carry the better recent record into this one.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on St. George City taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- St. George City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
St. George City Clean Sheet 15%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. George City | Sutherland Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs St. George City
2:1
May 9, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sutherland Sharks
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sutherland Sharks
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs St. George City
0:3
Aug 17, 2024 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs St. George City
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. George City Compare
Top Goalscorer Domoto H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Sutherland Sharks Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. George City 48 / 100
Sutherland Sharks 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. George City Sutherland Sharks
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. George City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sutherland Sharks conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: St. George City scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
St. George City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
St. George City VS Sutherland Sharks
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
St. George City
(Home) 30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
02 Aug
Marconi Stallions
0 : 1 St. George City
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
25 Jul
St. George City
1 : 0 Sydney Utd
11 Jul
St. George City
0 : 2 UNSW
20 Jun
St. George City
1 : 0 NWS Spirit
06 Jun
St. George City
1 : 1 Sydney Olympic
Page 1 of 3
Sutherland Sharks
(Away) 02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 SD Raiders
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0 Sutherland Sharks
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1 Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0 Sutherland Sharks
26 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 3 Sutherland Sharks
11 Jul
Manly Utd
2 : 1 Sutherland Sharks
27 Jun
UNSW
1 : 3 Sutherland Sharks
20 Jun
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
0 : 3 Sutherland Sharks
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
