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St. George City vs UNSW

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Penshurst Park
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
09:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. George City host UNSW in the NPL NSW. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: St. George City at 1 goals for, 1.25 against; UNSW at 0.88 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, St. George City have won 0 to UNSW's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.06) back UNSW to edge this. UNSW in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
St. George City
11%
Draws
9%
UNSW
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: St. George City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UNSW lately — more wins on the board than St. George City.
  • St. George City are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
St. George City Clean Sheet 20%
UNSW Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George City UNSW
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs St. George City
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George City 76 / 100
UNSW 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George City UNSW

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: St. George City scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

UNSW's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: St. George City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. George City VS UNSW
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

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1Marconi Stallions22164242:1452
2APIA Leichhardt22153445:2648
3Sydney Utd22143533:1745
4Rockdale Ilinden22113836:3136
5Sutherland Sharks22112935:2835
6Sydney FC U2322104831:3234
7Wollongong2295824:2632
8Western Sydney Wanderers U212285942:3129
9NWS Spirit22841024:2628
10Manly Utd2276923:2827
11SD Raiders22751029:3626
12UNSW22741130:3525
13St. George City2267922:3525
14Blacktown City22471127:3819
15St George Saints22611521:3619
16Sydney Olympic22431522:4715