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Stadium Background

St George Saints vs Rockdale Ilinden

Australia Australia

NPL NSW St George Stadium, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Temelkovski J.
22' Event
Casella J.
(Penalty)
30' Event
Najjar M.

AI Match Summary

Rockdale Ilinden in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rockdale Ilinden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
St George Saints
6%
Draws
90%
Rockdale Ilinden
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rockdale Ilinden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rockdale Ilinden have won more games recently than St George Saints.
  • Win probability leans Rockdale Ilinden's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rockdale Ilinden have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 15%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St George Saints Rockdale Ilinden
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:6
Apr 5, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St George Saints
3:0
Jun 1, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St George Saints
3:1
Feb 14, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:2
Jun 12, 2024 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St George Saints Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Rockdale Ilinden Compare

Top Goalscorer Najjar M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Temelkovski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St George Saints 10 / 100
Rockdale Ilinden 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St George Saints Rockdale Ilinden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

St George Saints scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Rockdale Ilinden let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Rockdale Ilinden lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St George Saints VS Rockdale Ilinden
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St George Saints

(Home)
18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6
Rockdale Ilinden
11 Jul
NWS Spirit
3 : 1
St George Saints
05 Jul
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0
St George Saints
27 Jun
St George Saints
1 : 2
Sydney Olympic
20 Jun
Manly Utd
2 : 0
St George Saints
Page 1 of 6

Rockdale Ilinden

(Away)
18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6
Rockdale Ilinden
12 Jul
Sydney Utd
1 : 0
Rockdale Ilinden
05 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1
NWS Spirit
28 Jun
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 2
Rockdale Ilinden
20 Jun
Sydney Olympic
0 : 4
Rockdale Ilinden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions24174345:1555
2APIA Leichhardt24173452:3054
3Sydney Utd24163535:1751
4Rockdale Ilinden24123942:3339
5Sutherland Sharks241131037:3136
6Sydney FC U2324105932:3435
7Wollongong24951028:3232
8UNSW24941135:3631
9NWS Spirit24941128:3031
10Manly Utd2487925:2931
11Western Sydney Wanderers U2124851145:3929
12SD Raiders24851133:4129
13Blacktown City24671133:3925
14St. George City24671122:4025
15St George Saints24611723:4519
16Sydney Olympic24541526:5019
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)