Sport Picks
St George Saints vs Rockdale Ilinden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW St George Stadium, Sydney 
Match Events
8'
8'
Temelkovski J.
22'
22'
Casella J.
(Penalty)
30'
30'
Najjar M.
AI Match Summary
Rockdale Ilinden in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rockdale Ilinden.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St George Saints
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rockdale Ilinden have won more games recently than St George Saints.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Rockdale Ilinden have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 13%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St George Saints | Rockdale Ilinden |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:6
Apr 5, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St George Saints
3:0
Jun 1, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St George Saints
3:1
Feb 14, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:2
Jun 12, 2024 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St George Saints Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Rockdale Ilinden Compare
Top Goalscorer Najjar M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Temelkovski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St George Saints 30 / 100
Rockdale Ilinden 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St George Saints Rockdale Ilinden
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St George Saints Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Rockdale Ilinden let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
St George Saints went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Rockdale Ilinden lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
St George Saints VS Rockdale Ilinden
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
St George Saints
(Home) 12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1 Northern Tigers
05 Sept
Northern Tigers
0 : 0 St George Saints
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0 St George Saints
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0 Blacktown City
15 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1 : 2 St George Saints
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1 Northern Tigers
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0 Blacktown City
08 Aug
St George Saints
0 : 0 APIA Leichhardt
01 Aug
St George Saints
2 : 3 SD Raiders
25 Jul
St George Saints
0 : 0 Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 3
Rockdale Ilinden
(Away) 30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0 UNSW
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1 Rockdale Ilinden
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2 Wollongong
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
02 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1 Manly Utd
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1 Rockdale Ilinden
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6 Rockdale Ilinden
12 Jul
Sydney Utd
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
28 Jun
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 2 Rockdale Ilinden
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
