Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. George Willawong vs Brisbane Roar

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between St. George Willawong and Brisbane Roar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
St. George Willawong
22%
Draws
60%
Brisbane Roar
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Brisbane Roar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Brisbane Roar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Brisbane Roar are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 10%
Brisbane Roar Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George Willawong Brisbane Roar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.25 1.86
Goals Conceded 3.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
St. George Willawong vs Brisbane Roar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George Willawong 18 / 100
Brisbane Roar 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George Willawong Brisbane Roar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brisbane Roar let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

St. George Willawong went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

St. George Willawong found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

St. George Willawong VS Brisbane Roar
0.25 Goals Scored 1.86
3.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

St. George Willawong

(Home)
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
04 Jul
Capalaba FC
0 : 2
St. George Willawong
27 Jun
St. George Willawong
2 : 0
North Star
19 Jun
Holland Park Hawks
2 : 1
St. George Willawong
Page 1 of 6

Brisbane Roar

(Away)
22 Jul
Ipswich
0 : 5
Brisbane Roar
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1
Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Brisbane Roar
2 : 3
Melbourne City
10 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6