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St. George Willawong vs Ipswich

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Willawong, Willawong
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Gbayor A.
67' Event
Wilfrid P.
90' Event
Damianakis Z.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between St. George Willawong and Ipswich finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ipswich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
St. George Willawong
15%
Draws
49%
Ipswich
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ipswich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ipswich carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ipswich a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 18%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George Willawong Ipswich
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Ipswich
0:4
Feb 27, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs St. George Willawong
1:0
May 26, 2024 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Ipswich
2:0
Feb 23, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs St. George Willawong
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. George Willawong Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Damianakis Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wilfrid P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George Willawong 28 / 100
Ipswich 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George Willawong Ipswich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ipswich Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipswich's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Ipswich's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

St. George Willawong scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

St. George Willawong VS Ipswich
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St. George Willawong

(Home)
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1
St. George Willawong
02 Aug
St. George Willawong
0 : 1
Brisbane Strikers
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
Page 1 of 6

Ipswich

(Away)
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Ipswich
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
22 Jul
Ipswich
0 : 5
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)