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St. George Willawong vs North Star

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Willawong
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Dmitrovic S.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Dmitrovic S.

AI Match Summary

St. George Willawong in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. George Willawong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
St. George Willawong
39%
Draws
30%
North Star
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • North Star have won more games recently than St. George Willawong.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 10%
North Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George Willawong North Star
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs North Star
2:0
Mar 20, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs St. George Willawong
1:0
Aug 16, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
St. George Willawong vs North Star
5:1
May 24, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
North Star vs St. George Willawong
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. George Willawong Compare

Top Goalscorer Dmitrovic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

North Star Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George Willawong 30 / 100
North Star 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George Willawong North Star

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: North Star conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

North Star's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: St. George Willawong scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. George Willawong VS North Star
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadbeach Utd.18144047:1646
2Brisbane Strikers18143144:1445
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1885536:2429
4Robina City1884630:2028
5Ipswich1884629:2728
6Caboolture1883735:3127
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
9Logan Lightning1872933:3523
10North Star18331216:3712
11St. George Willawong18311410:4110
12Capalaba FC18221417:518