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St. George Willawong vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Willawong, Willawong
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
McDougall K.
41' Event
Nezval M.
47' Event
Nezval M.

AI Match Summary

Sunshine Coast Wanderers in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
St. George Willawong
15%
Draws
65%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sunshine Coast Wanderers lately — more wins on the board than St. George Willawong.
  • Win probability leans Sunshine Coast Wanderers's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 13%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George Willawong Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1:6
Jun 3, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs St. George Willawong
8:0
Aug 10, 2025 NPL Queensland
St. George Willawong vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
3:2
May 17, 2025 NPL Queensland
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs St. George Willawong
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. George Willawong Compare

Top Goalscorer Dmitrovic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Sunshine Coast Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer McDougall K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nezval M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George Willawong 10 / 100
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George Willawong Sunshine Coast Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunshine Coast Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunshine Coast Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: St. George Willawong scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

St. George Willawong has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. George Willawong VS Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. George Willawong

(Home)
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1
St. George Willawong
02 Aug
St. George Willawong
0 : 1
Brisbane Strikers
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
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Sunshine Coast Wanderers

(Away)
05 Sept
Broadbeach Utd.
2 : 0
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
09 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2 : 1
Broadbeach Utd.
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
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