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St. George Willawong vs The Lakes FC

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Ball S.
37' Event
Pearson D.
53' Event
Fogarty D.

AI Match Summary

St. George Willawong in this Brisbane Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. George Willawong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
St. George Willawong
22%
Draws
60%
The Lakes FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: The Lakes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. George Willawong lately — more wins on the board than The Lakes FC.
  • Model gives The Lakes FC a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 17%
The Lakes FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George Willawong The Lakes FC
Matches Played 52 23
Wins 19 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 26 7
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
St. George Willawong vs The Lakes FC
3:2
Mar 20, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
The Lakes FC vs St. George Willawong
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. George Willawong Compare

Top Goalscorer Ball S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pearson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

The Lakes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fogarty D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George Willawong 20 / 100
The Lakes FC 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George Willawong The Lakes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

The Lakes FC let in goals in 91% of their last 23 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

St. George Willawong scored in 65% of their last 52 games.

Solid form: St. George Willawong remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. George Willawong VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. George Willawong

(Home)
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
04 Jul
Capalaba FC
0 : 2
St. George Willawong
27 Jun
St. George Willawong
2 : 0
North Star
19 Jun
Holland Park Hawks
2 : 1
St. George Willawong
Page 1 of 11

The Lakes FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Bayside United
5 : 2
The Lakes FC
26 Sept
Brisbane Knights
1 : 8
The Lakes FC
19 Sept
Gravatt
0 : 3
The Lakes FC
11 Sept
The Lakes FC
1 : 1
Centenary Stormers
04 Sept
The Gap
1 : 0
The Lakes FC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albany Creek221930102:1860
2Bayside United22142648:2544
3The Lakes FC22133660:4542
4St. George Willawong22122856:3938
5Gravatt22103938:4133
6Acacia Ridge22103942:4733
7Toowong City2295847:4632
8Univ. of Queensland22731227:4624
9Centenary Stormers22651130:4923
10The Gap22451319:4417
11Western Spirit FC22441436:7016
12Brisbane Knights22421629:6414
Promotion - Brisbane Premier League (Play Offs)