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St. George's FC vs Pembroke

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2021/2022
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

St. George's FC host Pembroke in the Challenge League 2021/2022. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: St. George's FC at 0.38 goals for, 2.75 against; Pembroke at 2.75 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, St. George's FC have won 0 to Pembroke's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 5, 2022, ending 0:6. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 2.75, favoring Pembroke. Pembroke in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
St. George's FC
6%
Draws
90%
Pembroke
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pembroke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pembroke has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to St. George's FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Pembroke.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Challenge League 2021/2022 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
St. George's FC Clean Sheet 10%
Pembroke Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George's FC Pembroke
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 16
Draws 2 8
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 0.38 2.75
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 Challenge League
St. George's FC vs Pembroke
0:6
Nov 27, 2021 Challenge League
Pembroke vs St. George's FC
2:0
Dec 15, 2020 FA Trophy
St. George's FC vs Pembroke
1:3
Dec 12, 2020 Challenge League
St. George's FC vs Pembroke
0:1
Feb 16, 2020 Challenge League
Pembroke vs St. George's FC
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George's FC 10 / 100
Pembroke 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George's FC Pembroke

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. George's FC scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Pembroke let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

St. George's FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Pembroke lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. George's FC VS Pembroke
0.38 Goals Scored 2.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pembroke20146049:1648
2Marsaxlokk20132540:2241
3Zejtun20124444:2440
4Naxxar Lions20121737:2237
5Melita20103728:2233
6San Gwann2086638:2230
7Lija2084839:3728
8Mqabba FC20551029:4120
9Vittoriosa20511423:6116
10Rabat Ajax20341320:4213
11St. George's FC20121713:515
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zebbug20143346:1545
2Pieta20124439:1940
3Tarxien20108245:2438
4Marsa20105535:2233
5Fgura2094735:2731
6St. Andrews2084836:3028
7Qrendi20731030:3724
8Swieqi2059621:2924
9Senglea20431324:5015
10Mgarr20351211:3614
11Luqa2024149:4210