Sport Picks
St. Georges vs Adama City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
71'
71'
Fitsumi T.
AI Match Summary
St. Georges in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Georges.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Georges
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to St. Georges lately — more wins on the board than Adama City.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on St. Georges taking it.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
St. Georges Clean Sheet 68%
Adama City Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Georges | Adama City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2026 Premier League
St. Georges vs Adama City
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Adama City vs St. Georges
1:0
May 11, 2025 Premier League
St. Georges vs Adama City
0:1
Jan 9, 2025 Premier League
Adama City vs St. Georges
1:2
Mar 29, 2024 Premier League
Adama City vs St. Georges
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Georges Compare
Top Goalscorer Fitsumi T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Adama City Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Georges 77 / 100
Adama City 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Georges Adama City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Georges Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: St. Georges remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Adama City conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: St. Georges scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
St. Georges VS Adama City
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Georges
(Home) 02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
20 May
St. Georges
1 : 0 Hawassa
09 May
St. Georges
1 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
01 May
St. Georges
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 3
Adama City
(Away) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
16 May
Fasil Kenema
3 : 1 Adama City
04 May
Mechal SC
0 : 0 Adama City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
