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St. Georges vs Hadiya Hossana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Georges host Hadiya Hossana in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. St. Georges have averaged 0.89 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Hadiya Hossana's 0.79 scored and 0.82 conceded. Head-to-head, St. Georges have won 1 to Hadiya Hossana's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.63, favoring St. Georges. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
St. Georges
35%
Draws
32%
Hadiya Hossana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Georges lately — more wins on the board than Hadiya Hossana.
  • Model gives St. Georges a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
St. Georges Clean Sheet 20%
Hadiya Hossana Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Georges Hadiya Hossana
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.89 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs St. Georges
1:2
Nov 21, 2025 Premier League
St. Georges vs Hadiya Hossana
0:1
Apr 2, 2025 Premier League
St. Georges vs Hadiya Hossana
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs St. Georges
1:0
May 18, 2024 Premier League
St. Georges vs Hadiya Hossana
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Georges 36 / 100
Hadiya Hossana 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Georges Hadiya Hossana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hadiya Hossana let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: St. Georges stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

St. Georges's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

St. Georges VS Hadiya Hossana
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Georges

(Home)
22 Oct
St. Georges
1 : 1
Adama City
17 Oct
St. Georges
1 : 2
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
10 Oct
St. Georges
1 : 1
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1
St. Georges
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0
Fasil Kenema
Page 1 of 6

Hadiya Hossana

(Away)
24 Oct
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 0
Fasil Kenema
18 Oct
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1
Welayta Dicha
11 Oct
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1
Bahir Dar Kenema
03 Jul
Mechal SC
0 : 0
Hadiya Hossana
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1
Dire Dawa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Ethio Electric S.C. 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
3 Bahir Dar Kenema 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
4 Mechal SC 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
5 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
6 Halaba Ketema FC 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
7 Adama City 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Ethiopian Insurance 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
9 Hadiya Hossana 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Sheger Ketema FC 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
11 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
12 St. Georges 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
13 Hawassa 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
14 Fasil Kenema 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
15 Welayta Dicha 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
16 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
17 Sidama Bunna 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gamo Chencha FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)