Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Alemayehu B.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between St. Georges and Hawassa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Georges.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St. Georges
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- St. Georges carry the better recent record into this one.
- St. Georges are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
St. Georges Clean Sheet 68%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Georges | Hawassa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 20, 2026 Premier League
St. Georges vs Hawassa
1:0
Jan 9, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs St. Georges
1:0
May 16, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs St. Georges
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Premier League
St. Georges vs Hawassa
1:1
May 5, 2024 Premier League
St. Georges vs Hawassa
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Georges Compare
Top Goalscorer Alemayehu B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Hawassa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Georges 95 / 100
Hawassa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Georges Hawassa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Georges Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: St. Georges remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Hawassa has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
St. Georges found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
St. Georges VS Hawassa
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Georges
(Home) 02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
20 May
St. Georges
1 : 0 Hawassa
09 May
St. Georges
1 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
01 May
St. Georges
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 3
Hawassa
(Away) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
20 May
St. Georges
1 : 0 Hawassa
09 May
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 0 Hawassa
29 Apr
Ethiopian Insurance
2 : 1 Hawassa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
