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St. Georges vs KMKM

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Shukuru S.
49' Event
Alemu D.
(Penalty)
65' Event
Zeleke N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with St. Georges advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
St. Georges
20%
Draws
17%
KMKM
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Georges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • KMKM haven't matched St. Georges's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans St. Georges's way, sitting at 90%.
  • St. Georges have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Georges, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
St. Georges Clean Sheet 20%
KMKM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Georges KMKM
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 12 3
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 0.97 0.62
Goals Conceded 0.91 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2023 CAF Champions League
St. Georges vs KMKM
3:1
Aug 18, 2023 CAF Champions League
KMKM vs St. Georges
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Georges Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeleke N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yalew A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

KMKM Compare

Top Goalscorer Shukuru S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Georges 85 / 100
KMKM 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Georges KMKM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Georges Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: KMKM conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Solid form: St. Georges remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

KMKM lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Georges VS KMKM
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Georges

(Home)
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1
St. Georges
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0
Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0
St. Georges
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0
Mechal SC
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2
St. Georges
Page 1 of 7

KMKM

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0
KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
24 Oct
Azam
7 : 0
KMKM
18 Oct
KMKM
0 : 2
Azam
26 Sept
KMKM
2 : 1
Port
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Hafia 2
Generation Foot 2
Wydad Athletic -
TBD -
AS Garde Nationale -
AS Douanes -
Esperance Tunis -
TBD -
Bo Rangers 2
Liberia Registry 1
CR Belouizdad -
TBD -
Medeama 2
Remo Stars 1
Horoya -
TBD -
KMKM 2
St. Georges 5
Al Ahly -
TBD -
APR 3
Gaadiidka 1
Pyramids -
TBD -
Centre Sportif Bendje 2
Bumamuru 6
Mamelodi Sundowns -
TBD -
African Stars 2
Power Dynamos 2
Simba -
TBD -
UD Songo 2
Green Mamba 1
Petro Atletico -
TBD -
Dragon FC 0
Big Bullets 3
Mazembe -
TBD -
Al Ahly Benghazi 4
Enyimba International 3
Coton FC 0
ASEC Mimosas 2
Constantine 0
Etoile Sahel 3
ASKO Kara 0
FAR Rabat 8
Real Bamako 2
Cotonsport 0
Nouadhibou 2
Al Ahly Tripoli 1
Primeiro de Agosto 2
AS Vita Club 1
Wau Salaam 0
Al-Hilal Omdurman 6
Otoho d'Oyo 1
Al-Merreikh 1
ASAS 1
Young Africans 7
Jwaneng Galaxy 3
Vipers 2
Djabal 0
Orlando Pirates 4
Final
Hafia 1
Wydad Athletic 4
AS Douanes 0
Esperance Tunis 1
Bo Rangers 2
CR Belouizdad 6
Medeama 4
Horoya 3
St. Georges 0
Al Ahly 7
APR 1
Pyramids 6
Bumamuru 0
Mamelodi Sundowns 6
Power Dynamos 3
Simba 3
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 5
Big Bullets 0
Mazembe 5
Al Ahly Benghazi 1
ASEC Mimosas 2
Etoile Sahel 3
FAR Rabat 1
Real Bamako 1
Nouadhibou 4
Primeiro de Agosto 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman 2
Al-Merreikh 0
Young Africans 3
Jwaneng Galaxy 2
Orlando Pirates 1